Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.12 | $0.471 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.45 |
| $0.690 |
| $1.01 |
| +$0.01 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 1.56 | $0.640 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.11 | $0.900 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.47 | $0.680 | $0.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.43 | $0.700 | $0.85 | -$0.15 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.33 | $0.750 | $0.45 | -$0.55 |
 Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 12.2 | $0.082 | $0.42 | -$0.58 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
| buy |
| 1.45 |
| $0.690 |
| $1 |
| 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | 20d ago |
| Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.082 | $1 | 20d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 20d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | 20d ago |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 20d ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.471 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETUp | sell | 5.55 | $0.050 | $0.28 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETDown | sell | 1.96 | $0.700 | $1.37 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | sell | 1.96 | $0.490 | $0.96 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | sell | 2.08 | $0.730 | $1.52 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETDown | sell | 1.66 | $0.740 | $1.23 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETDown | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETUp | sell | 1.88 | $0.880 | $1.65 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETUp | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown | sell | 1.88 | $0.950 | $1.79 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETDown | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETUp | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETDown | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETUp | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETDown | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETUp | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETDown | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETUp | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETDown | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETDown | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |