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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Apr 15, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.756 |
| $7.56 |
| Mar 12, 2026 |
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.241 | $4.82 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.521 | $156.2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 68.73 | $0.830 | $57.05 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 31m?No | sell | 20 | $0.998 | $19.96 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 31m?No | buy | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 68.49 | $0.806 | $55.18 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 21.5 | $0.951 | $20.45 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Democratic sweep?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.999 | $12.49 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Democratic sweep?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 3?Yes | sell | 22.57 | $0.194 | $4.39 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 68.49 | $0.730 | $50 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 3?Yes | buy | 22.57 | $0.886 | $20 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Eliud Kipchoge win the 2025 Men's New York City Marathon?No | sell | 21.75 | $0.999 | $21.73 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Eliud Kipchoge win the 2025 Men's New York City Marathon?No | buy | 21.76 | $0.919 | $20 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will Shopify (SHOP) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 24.09 | $0.900 | $21.68 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Over 80% "For" on the Jupiter burn proposal?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.982 | $20.46 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 21.27 | $0.927 | $19.72 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Shopify (SHOP) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Over 80% "For" on the Jupiter burn proposal?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.960 | $20 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 21.27 | $0.940 | $20 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | sell | 22.77 | $0.998 | $22.72 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | sell | 20.66 | $0.974 | $20.12 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 22.78 | $0.878 | $20 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 20.95 | $0.882 | $18.48 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 20.95 | $0.955 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 20.66 | $0.968 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 21.03 | $0.952 | $20.02 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 20.9 | $0.958 | $20.02 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 20.9 | $0.957 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 21.03 | $0.951 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 20.14 | $0.992 | $19.98 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | sell | 21.05 | $0.963 | $20.27 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 20.32 | $0.984 | $19.99 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.33 | $0.984 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20.14 | $0.993 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 20.26 | $0.999 | $20.24 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20.26 | $0.987 | $20 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 21.17 | $0.952 | $20.15 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 21.48 | $0.935 | $20.08 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 21.17 | $0.945 | $20 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 21.48 | $0.931 | $20 | Oct 23, 2025 |