Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Pope be named Francis?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Apr 26, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 126.05 |
| $0.040 |
| $5 |
| Apr 26, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope be from Asia?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "VAT" or "Value added tax" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence at CPAC conference on Saturday?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" 5 or more times at CPAC conference on Saturday?No | buy | 10.39 | $0.770 | $8 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 51.53 | $0.097 | $5 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 269.08 | $0.037 | $10 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will the Greens be part of the next German government?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.430 | $25 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Trump comment on immigration debate today?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Israel military response against Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Oct 9, 2024 |
 Will England win the 2024 Euros?Yes | buy | 48.39 | $0.310 | $15 | Jul 10, 2024 |
 Will the DOJ charge Boeing?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jul 10, 2024 |
 Netherlands vs. England - Who will advance?England | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Jul 10, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?No | sell | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | Jul 10, 2024 |
 Will Man City win the Premier League?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2024?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift engaged by April 1?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 Will Reddit IPO at a greater than $15b valuation?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 Will "Oppenheimer" win the Oscar for Best Picture?Yes | buy | 7.53 | $0.930 | $7 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 Will "Barbie" win the Oscar for Best Picture?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 Dutch government formed before June?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 Will Sweden join NATO by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Feb 12, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Feb 12, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Feb 12, 2024 |
 Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Feb 9, 2024 |
 US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jan 31, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Jan 30, 2024 |
 Finnish Presidential Election: Will Alexander Stubb win?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Jan 27, 2024 |
 Will Israel attack Iran by February 15?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jan 25, 2024 |
 Will Argentina dollarize in 2024?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jan 25, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before March?Yes | buy | 51.11 | $0.059 | $3 | Jan 25, 2024 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.110 | $15 | Jan 25, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Jan 25, 2024 |
 Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Jan 25, 2024 |
 Will Ye say something antisemitic before February?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.034 | $3.4 | Jan 24, 2024 |
 Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jan 24, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before March?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Jan 24, 2024 |
| Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.048 | $4.8 | Jan 24, 2024 |