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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.21K | $0.940 | $1.14K | -$5.86 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 13 | $0.960 | $12.48 | 10h ago |
|
| No |
| 1K |
| $0.817 |
| $858.27 |
| +$37.83 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 350.26 | $0.946 | $334.5 | +$3.26 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 170.62 | $0.886 | $162.94 | +$11.79 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 89.42 | $0.813 | $74.35 | +$1.64 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 88.24 | $0.766 | $73.68 | +$6.11 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 48.16 | $0.816 | $40.86 | +$1.58 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 39.86 | $0.930 | $37.47 | +$0.4 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 181.04 | $0.547 | $35.3 | -$63.82 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 37.07 | $0.930 | $34.66 | +$0.19 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 36 | $0.802 | $31.14 | +$2.27 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 41.62 | $0.498 | $29.97 | +$9.22 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 22.91 | $0.889 | $21.88 | +$1.52 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | 27 | $0.930 | $16.88 | -$8.24 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 18.48 | $0.899 | $16.47 | -$0.14 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.22 | $0.894 | $14.68 | +$0.17 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 116.44 | $0.222 | $14.56 | -$11.29 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 144.65 | $0.322 | $13.74 | -$32.87 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 13 | $0.961 | $12.4 | -$0.1 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 13 | $0.940 | $11.9 | -$0.33 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | No | 12 | $0.865 | $10.62 | +$0.24 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 45.18 | $0.564 | $9.71 | -$15.79 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.910 | $9.55 | +$0.45 |
 Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | No | 8 | $0.940 | $7.52 | $0 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 45.3 | $0.355 | $4.76 | -$11.35 |
| buy |
| 23 |
| $0.960 |
| $22.08 |
| 1d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.982 | $6.87 | 3d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.978 | $6.85 | 4d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.849 | $16.13 | 5d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 69 | $0.831 | $57.34 | 5d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | 5d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.832 | $16.63 | 5d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | 5d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | 5d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.99 | $0.831 | $1.65 | 5d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.977 | $23.45 | 8d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.979 | $23.5 | 8d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 46 | $0.840 | $38.64 | 9d ago |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.150 | $1.05 | 9d ago |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | 9d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.850 | $5.1 | 9d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 12 | $0.840 | $10.08 | 10d ago |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.650 | $4.55 | 10d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | 11d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.976 | $22.45 | 13d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 13 | $0.840 | $10.92 | 14d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.979 | $6.85 | 14d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 14d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 14d ago |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.400 | $3.2 | 15d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | 15d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.980 | $22.54 | 15d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | 16d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.029 | $0.38 | 16d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.979 | $6.85 | 17d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 7 | $0.840 | $5.88 | 18d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.980 | $23.52 | 18d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | 18d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.979 | $23.5 | 18d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.029 | $0.44 | 19d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.840 | $5.04 | 19d ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | 19d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | sell | 17 | $0.540 | $9.18 | 19d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | 19d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | 19d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | 19d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.028 | $0.39 | 19d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 53 | $0.940 | $49.82 | 19d ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.950 | $10.45 | 19d ago |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 19 | $0.950 | $18.05 | 19d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 61 | $0.840 | $51.24 | 19d ago |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.880 | $7.04 | 19d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.300 | $6.9 | 19d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.300 | $6.9 | 19d ago |