Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No | buy | 2.18 | $0.999 | $2.18 | Mar 31, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 49.41 |
| $0.997 |
| $49.26 |
| Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 38.41 | $0.999 | $38.37 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 24.59 | $0.997 | $24.52 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.997 | $26.59 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 21.22 | $0.999 | $21.2 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 30.1 | $0.992 | $29.86 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 3?No | buy | 50.4 | $0.994 | $50.09 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 6.71 | $0.987 | $6.62 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?No | buy | 46.5 | $0.999 | $46.45 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 44.69 | $0.999 | $44.65 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?No | buy | 51.99 | $0.996 | $51.78 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No | buy | 43.37 | $0.999 | $43.33 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?No | buy | 36.19 | $0.999 | $36.15 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 138.75 | $0.008 | $1.11 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 24.74 | $0.960 | $23.75 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 23.95 | $0.997 | $23.88 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 8.87 | $0.999 | $8.86 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 8.29 | $0.980 | $8.12 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 28.93 | $0.972 | $28.12 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 37.41 | $0.950 | $35.54 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.18 | $0.999 | $4.18 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 221.4 | $0.680 | $150.55 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 150.01 | $0.993 | $148.96 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 177.21 | $0.978 | $173.31 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 152.37 | $0.992 | $151.15 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 179.8 | $0.778 | $139.84 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 179.8 | $0.750 | $134.85 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Israel invade Iran before July?No | buy | 189.79 | $0.993 | $188.46 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 168.99 | $0.997 | $168.48 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 169 | $0.997 | $168.49 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 182.08 | $0.978 | $178.07 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 156.04 | $0.994 | $155.1 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 156.04 | $0.995 | $155.26 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 150.96 | $0.995 | $150.21 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 150.96 | $0.996 | $150.36 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $33m?No | buy | 14.95 | $0.997 | $14.91 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 173.62 | $0.994 | $172.58 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 173.63 | $0.995 | $172.76 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 173.77 | $0.997 | $173.25 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 173.78 | $0.998 | $173.43 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 168.49 | $0.996 | $167.82 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 168.5 | $0.997 | $167.99 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?Yes | buy | 7.56 | $0.973 | $7.36 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $110 in May?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.996 | $1.33 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 152.14 | $0.998 | $151.84 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 152.14 | $0.999 | $151.99 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 147.35 | $0.997 | $146.91 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 147.35 | $0.998 | $147.06 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 6.51 | $0.999 | $6.5 | May 23, 2025 |