Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.004 | $100 | Jul 20, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 13K |
| $0.005 |
| $65 |
| Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.98K | $0.005 | $85 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.33K | $0.004 | $30 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 319.15 | $0.996 | $317.87 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 66.02K | $0.005 | $329 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 711.98 | $0.995 | $708.42 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 708.42 | $0.995 | $704.88 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 701.65 | $0.996 | $698.84 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?No | buy | 698.84 | $0.996 | $696.04 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?No | buy | 696.04 | $0.995 | $692.56 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.928 | $3 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 695.57 | $0.683 | $474.84 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 474.83 | $0.991 | $470.56 | Jan 27, 2026 |