Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.062 | $10 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 14.75 |
| $0.050 |
| $0.74 |
| Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.160 | $1.68 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.760 | $12.66 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?No | buy | 14.75 | $0.068 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes | buy | 49.05 | $0.020 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes | buy | 51.19 | $0.020 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 12.85 | $0.389 | $5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | sell | 71.43 | $0.060 | $4.29 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 61.03 | $0.160 | $9.76 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?Yes | buy | 36.16 | $0.028 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.83 | $0.530 | $0.97 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp | sell | 10.94 | $0.510 | $5.58 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 10.77 | $0.450 | $4.85 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.210 | $0.95 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.035 | $0.88 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.110 | $4.58 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Supreme Court" during March press conference?Yes | sell | 7.62 | $0.057 | $0.44 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Affordability" during March press conference?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.089 | $1.27 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?Yes | sell | 29.97 | $0.020 | $0.6 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?Yes | sell | 29.96 | $0.034 | $1.02 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?Yes | sell | 19.97 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?Yes | sell | 79.89 | $0.043 | $3.45 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Affordability" during March press conference?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Supreme Court" during March press conference?Yes | buy | 7.63 | $0.655 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?Yes | sell | 2.59 | $0.350 | $0.91 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Simulation" during March press conference?Yes | sell | 13.66 | $0.080 | $1.09 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.500 | $6 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?Yes | buy | 11.73 | $0.085 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?Yes | buy | 73.06 | $0.068 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Food" or "Energy" 3+ times during March press conference?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Simulation" during March press conference?Yes | buy | 13.67 | $0.146 | $2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Successor" during March press conference?Yes | buy | 9.32 | $0.214 | $2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |