Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 91.46 | $0.838 | $88.03 | +$11.42 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 76 | $0.999 | $75.92 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 33 |
| $0.914 |
| $31.53 |
| +$1.37 |
 Fed abolished before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.983 | $19.61 | -$0.05 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 15 | $0.940 | $14.57 | +$0.47 |
 Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? | No | 15.19 | $0.960 | $14.52 | -$0.06 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 13 | $0.560 | $9.95 | +$2.67 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 10 | $0.910 | $9.92 | +$0.82 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 16.1 | $0.900 | $3.14 | -$11.35 |
| buy |
| 5.9 |
| $0.992 |
| $5.85 |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?No | buy | 15.66 | $0.960 | $15.03 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No | buy | 7.87 | $0.994 | $7.82 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.1 | $0.900 | $14.49 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 26 | $0.893 | $23.22 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.560 | $7.28 | May 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 658.19 | $0.002 | $1.32 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 216.28 | $0.061 | $13.19 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 0.3 | $0.997 | $0.3 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 11 | $0.993 | $10.92 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.940 | $14.1 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes | buy | 559.4 | $0.002 | $1.12 | May 30, 2026 |
| Fed abolished before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.983 | $19.66 | May 30, 2026 |
 UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)Luis Felipe Dias | buy | 15.84 | $0.640 | $10.14 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 37 | $0.790 | $29.23 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No | buy | 33 | $0.978 | $32.27 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 23 | $0.890 | $20.47 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.961 | $48.05 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?No | buy | 23.98 | $0.987 | $23.67 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?No | buy | 15.19 | $0.960 | $14.58 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?No | buy | 30.29 | $0.999 | $30.26 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 775.81 | $0.017 | $13.19 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.968 | $23.23 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.914 | $30.16 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.963 | $48.15 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes | buy | 40.14 | $0.250 | $10.04 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 54.46 | $0.870 | $47.38 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.968 | $19.36 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.53 | $0.960 | $11.07 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No | buy | 25.02 | $0.964 | $24.12 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by June 30?No | buy | 34.31 | $0.960 | $32.94 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes | buy | 19.77 | $0.240 | $4.74 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 7?Up | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 22.24 | $0.999 | $22.22 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 19 | $0.790 | $15.01 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?No | buy | 23.05 | $0.995 | $22.93 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 China x India military clash by December 31?No | buy | 41.84 | $0.995 | $41.63 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 22.78 | $0.965 | $21.98 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?No | buy | 17.64 | $0.973 | $17.16 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Andrew Tate vs. Chase DemoorDemoor | buy | 23.61 | $0.192 | $4.53 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 43.41 | $0.920 | $39.94 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?Yes | buy | 855.92 | $0.002 | $1.71 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | buy | 15.96 | $0.940 | $15 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 36.33 | $0.991 | $36 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 670 | $0.002 | $1.34 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?No | buy | 24.68 | $0.968 | $23.89 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?No | buy | 25.4 | $0.984 | $25 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No | buy | 36.94 | $0.990 | $36.57 | Nov 5, 2025 |