Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.2 | $0.410 | $0.79 | -$4.21 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 9.68 |
| $0.310 |
| $3 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.780 | $15 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes | buy | 15.21 | $0.954 | $14.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.19 | $0.981 | $10 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.81 | $0.740 | $8 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | sell | 2.29 | $0.938 | $2.15 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.580 | $4 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.500 | $7 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Nine Wars" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crazy" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "FBI" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Radical left" 3+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Yes | buy | 5.97 | $0.670 | $4 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.870 | $4.5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.460 | $3 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.780 | $4 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Elon" this week?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?No | sell | 1.97 | $0.790 | $1.56 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.976 | $2 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.860 | $1.7 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during May 16 Baier interview?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Deal" 10+ times during May 16 Baier interview?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during May 16 Baier interview?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | May 16, 2025 |