Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 12.68 | $0.954 | $0.83 | -$11.27 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 60.06 |
| $0.999 |
| $60 |
| Jun 2, 2026 |
 US bank failure by January 31?No | buy | 7.85 | $0.956 | $7.5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 10.28 | $0.992 | $10.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 15, 2026?No | buy | 10.73 | $0.997 | $10.7 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the January meeting?Yes | buy | 10.81 | $0.981 | $10.6 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?ETH | buy | 40.45 | $0.220 | $8.9 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.51 | $0.951 | $11.9 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.64 | $0.979 | $11.4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 12.68 | $0.954 | $12.1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 11.57 | $0.942 | $10.9 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 12.01 | $0.999 | $12 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 11.03 | $0.997 | $11 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?Yes | buy | 9.32 | $0.987 | $9.2 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 11.69 | $0.992 | $11.6 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 13.46 | $0.988 | $13.3 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 16.05 | $0.997 | $16 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 ECB rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 11.53 | $0.997 | $11.5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 10.93 | $0.988 | $10.8 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 13.61 | $0.992 | $13.5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.990 | $15 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the December meeting?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Canadiens vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights | buy | 6.95 | $0.630 | $4.38 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Maple Leafs vs. CapitalsCapitals | buy | 36.07 | $0.610 | $22 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Jets vs. HurricanesHurricanes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Flyers vs. IslandersIslanders | buy | 15.52 | $0.580 | $9 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Flames vs. PanthersPanthers | buy | 31.08 | $0.644 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Devils vs. SabresDevils | buy | 50 | $0.520 | $26 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Kings vs. DucksKings | buy | 41.07 | $0.560 | $23 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Avalanche vs. WildAvalanche | buy | 35.48 | $0.620 | $22 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Lightning vs. Red WingsRed Wings | buy | 51.06 | $0.470 | $24 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Rangers vs. BruinsBruins | buy | 51.16 | $0.430 | $22 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | sell | 24.68 | $0.979 | $24.16 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 333.33 | $0.255 | $85.12 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 29.21 | $0.760 | $22.2 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?No | buy | 27.04 | $0.995 | $26.9 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | buy | 24.69 | $0.964 | $23.8 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?Yes | buy | 26.19 | $0.840 | $22 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 31?Yes | buy | 27.89 | $0.968 | $27 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 36.71 | $0.410 | $15.05 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hard fork before 2026?No | sell | 55.78 | $0.950 | $52.99 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No | buy | 64.18 | $0.952 | $61.1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hard fork before 2026?No | buy | 55.79 | $0.950 | $53 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $5.00 in August?No | buy | 115.63 | $0.949 | $109.76 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 36.72 | $0.640 | $23.5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?Yes | sell | 1.86K | $0.056 | $104.12 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | buy | 158.7 | $0.996 | $158.07 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 158.07 | $0.997 | $157.6 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Hegseth caught drinking before June?No | buy | 157.6 | $0.990 | $155.99 | May 20, 2025 |