Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 162.58 | $0.646 | $38.21 | -$66.79 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 133.34 |
| $0.300 |
| $34 |
| -$6 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 21.23 | $0.707 | $18.15 | +$3.15 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 148.34 | $0.270 | $17.06 | -$22.94 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 23.08 | $0.650 | $13.5 | -$1.5 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 13.52 | $0.740 | $11.49 | +$1.49 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 13.16 | $0.760 | $11.25 | +$1.25 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 11.98 | $0.835 | $10.9 | +$0.9 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 10.46 | $0.956 | $9.64 | -$0.36 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $8.83 | -$1.17 |
 RFK Jr. Out by December 31? | Yes | 30.41 | $0.329 | $8.52 | -$1.48 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.280 | $7.5 | -$12.5 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 8.77 | $0.570 | $6.97 | +$1.97 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 6.94 | $0.720 | $6.22 | +$1.22 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | No | 6.58 | $0.760 | $6.15 | +$1.15 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5.94 | +$0.94 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 40.98 | $0.244 | $5.92 | -$4.08 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5.84 | +$0.84 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5.64 | +$0.64 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 140.4 | $0.285 | $4.63 | -$35.37 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 12.2 | $0.410 | $2.5 | -$2.5 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 6.02 | $0.830 | $1.36 | -$3.64 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.130 | $1.35 | -$8.65 |
| buy |
| 13.16 |
| $0.760 |
| $10 |
| Jul 13, 2026 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes | buy | 7.39 | $0.677 | $5 | May 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.050 | $200 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.150 | $9.4 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | May 16, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.640 | $100 | May 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 65.79 | $0.760 | $50 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.009 | $9.24 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.006 | $2.52 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.006 | $7.43 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $9.99 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $9.77 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $9.97 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $4.55 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 James Comey arrested by April 30?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |