Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.09K | $0.885 | $1.06K | +$91.91 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.770 | $12.32 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 173 |
| $0.785 |
| $147.92 |
| +$12.14 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 38 | $0.833 | $33.25 | +$1.59 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 27 | $0.740 | $24.98 | +$5 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 20 | $0.870 | $19.67 | +$2.27 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.880 | $18.5 | +$0.9 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.830 | $16.7 | +$0.1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 15 | $0.981 | $14.78 | +$0.07 |
| Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? | No | 16 | $0.770 | $10.48 | -$1.84 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5 | $0.820 | $4.64 | +$0.54 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.420 | $3.73 | +$1.63 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7 | $0.340 | $1.01 | -$1.37 |
| buy |
| 15 |
| $0.981 |
| $14.72 |
| 1d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 45 | $0.966 | $43.47 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.870 | $15.66 | 1d ago |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.850 | $25.5 | 1d ago |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 127 | $0.930 | $118.11 | 1d ago |
 Natural Disaster in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | 25d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.73 | $0.980 | $11.5 | 25d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 250 | $0.977 | $244.25 | 25d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 179.34 | $0.981 | $175.93 | 25d ago |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.991 | $9.91 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.986 | $14.79 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.962 | $9.62 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.970 | $19.4 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 150 | $0.850 | $127.5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?No | buy | 60 | $0.955 | $57.3 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 25 | $0.999 | $24.98 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 250 | $0.860 | $215 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 75 | $0.910 | $68.25 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.986 | $49.3 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 60 | $0.910 | $54.6 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No | buy | 100 | $0.982 | $98.2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.968 | $96.78 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?No | sell | 35 | $0.950 | $33.25 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.970 | $5.15 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.954 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No | buy | 100 | $0.955 | $95.5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 16 | $0.999 | $15.98 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.996 | $25.9 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No | buy | 170 | $0.983 | $167.11 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?No | sell | 167 | $0.999 | $166.83 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?No | buy | 117 | $0.991 | $115.95 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.1 | $0.955 | $5.83 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 23.94 | $0.956 | $22.89 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.988 | $39.52 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?No | buy | 57 | $0.992 | $56.54 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.969 | $19.38 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.770 | $30.8 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.750 | $22.5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.850 | $34 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.920 | $5.52 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 45 | $0.860 | $38.7 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.973 | $9.73 | Jan 8, 2026 |