Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 704.55 | $0.142 | $100 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.73K |
| $0.029 |
| $50 |
| Jan 23, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.64K | $0.028 | $46 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?Yes | buy | 1.74K | $0.012 | $21 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?Yes | buy | 939.73 | $0.011 | $10 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with France in July?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $150m?Yes | buy | 504.18 | $0.040 | $20 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?Yes | buy | 215.95 | $0.181 | $39.1 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $150m?Yes | buy | 149.74 | $0.334 | $50 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | sell | 277.77 | $0.004 | $1.11 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 251.18 | $0.040 | $10 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?Yes | buy | 45.83 | $0.240 | $11 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Yes | sell | 344.82 | $0.280 | $96.55 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.290 | $100 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?Yes | sell | 89.28 | $0.020 | $1.83 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.029 | $4.35 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.180 | $50 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.220 | $50 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?Yes | buy | 89.29 | $0.224 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before July?Yes | buy | 414 | $0.048 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.400 | $60 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Israel invade Iran before July?Yes | sell | 384 | $0.025 | $9.6 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | buy | 126.67 | $0.750 | $95 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.200 | $25 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Yes | buy | 225.12 | $0.089 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 221.24 | $0.226 | $50 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Israel invade Iran before July?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.026 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Sunday?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.230 | $50 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes | buy | 594.09 | $0.034 | $20 | Jun 21, 2025 |