Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.140 | $1.16 | -$3.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETDown | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 5 |
| $0.860 |
| $0.58 |
| -$3.73 |
 Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.290 | $0.28 | -$1.18 |
| buy |
| 4.87 |
| $0.350 |
| $1.7 |
| Feb 20, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?Up | sell | 100 | $0.028 | $2.81 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.362 | $18.1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | sell | 14.27 | $0.268 | $3.82 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.255 | $12.77 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?Up | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?No | sell | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.450 | $11.25 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Arthur FilsFils | buy | 5 | $0.377 | $1.88 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Yes | buy | 4.18 | $0.239 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Up Only podcast released by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.039 | $0.59 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 AS Roma vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Yes | sell | 4.43 | $0.139 | $0.62 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.561 | $3.37 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.078 | $1.17 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.172 | $1.03 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18?Down | buy | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.850 | $10.2 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | sell | 11 | $0.986 | $10.85 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 11 | $0.987 | $10.86 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on November 17?Up | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on November 17?Up | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 86.99 | $0.130 | $11.31 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.720 | $26.64 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 29m?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.955 | $3.97 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $50 in November?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.009 | $1.08 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.190 | $5.13 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Oct 9, 2025 |