Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 4.8K | $0.780 | $4.08K | +$331 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 32.84 | $0.550 | $18.06 | 3h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 3.24K |
| $0.955 |
| $3.16K |
| +$64.46 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | Yes | 4.87K | $0.395 | $2.95K | +$1.02K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.830 | $2.57K | +$75 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 4.4K | $0.556 | $2.22K | -$223.63 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 4.4K | $0.444 | $2.16K | +$203.41 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 5.17K | $0.535 | $1.86K | -$908.24 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 1.57K | $0.716 | $1.42K | +$296.67 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 1.56K | $0.603 | $1.27K | +$324.2 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 4.44K | $0.190 | $599.87 | -$243.14 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 600 | $0.890 | $581.7 | +$47.7 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 1.02K | $0.415 | $539.33 | +$117 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 683.94 | $0.330 | $516.37 | +$290.76 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1K | $0.490 | $465 | -$25 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 3K | $0.170 | $465 | -$45 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 503.52 | $0.827 | $435.54 | +$18.97 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 492.35 | $0.758 | $425.88 | +$52.59 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 400.06 | $0.838 | $386.86 | +$51.72 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 400.03 | $0.300 | $367.83 | +$247.97 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | No | 369.86 | $0.884 | $349.52 | +$22.64 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 400 | $0.660 | $344 | +$80 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 500 | $0.393 | $312.5 | +$115.95 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | No | 1.56K | $0.335 | $273.79 | -$250.23 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 502.09 | $0.590 | $268.62 | -$27.46 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 500.01 | $0.360 | $230 | +$49.88 |
| buy |
| 400 |
| $0.550 |
| $220 |
| 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 400 | $0.550 | $220 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 400 | $0.550 | $220 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 400 | $0.550 | $220 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 25.06 | $0.550 | $13.78 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 399.12 | $0.550 | $219.52 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.81 | $0.550 | $1 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.81 | $0.550 | $1 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.81 | $0.550 | $1 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.550 | $0.97 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.560 | $0.99 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.450 | $180 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.560 | $0.99 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.560 | $0.99 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.560 | $0.99 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.560 | $0.99 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.560 | $0.99 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 2.64 | $0.560 | $1.48 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.560 | $0.99 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.560 | $0.99 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 275.05 | $0.560 | $154.03 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 275.06 | $0.440 | $121.03 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 400 | $0.570 | $228 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 400 | $0.566 | $226.32 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 16.4 | $0.440 | $7.22 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 16.38 | $0.560 | $9.17 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 400 | $0.560 | $224 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 400 | $0.560 | $224 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 27.28 | $0.560 | $15.28 | 6h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 42 | $0.810 | $34.02 | 14h ago |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | sell | 42 | $0.180 | $7.56 | 14h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 150 | $0.780 | $117 | 14h ago |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.210 | $31.5 | 14h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 293.09 | $0.770 | $225.68 | 21h ago |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | sell | 293.1 | $0.220 | $64.48 | 21h ago |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 28.44 | $0.352 | $10.02 | 1d ago |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes | sell | 28.46 | $0.630 | $17.93 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.368 | $110.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 61.02 | $0.370 | $22.58 | 1d ago |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes | sell | 61.05 | $0.620 | $37.85 | 1d ago |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | sell | 416.61 | $0.230 | $95.82 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 416.6 | $0.760 | $316.62 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 31.28 | $0.380 | $11.89 | 3d ago |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.930 | $2.79 | 4d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1K | $0.860 | $860 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 71.22 | $0.670 | $47.72 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | buy | 71.24 | $0.326 | $23.2 | 5d ago |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 225.19 | $0.860 | $193.66 | 6d ago |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 225.2 | $0.140 | $31.53 | 6d ago |