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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.999 | $1.38 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.47 |
| $0.999 |
| $1.47 |
| Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.999 | $1.56 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.999 | $1.45 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.997 | $1.36 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.995 | $1.2 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.999 | $1.28 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.998 | $1.23 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.970 | $1.67 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.953 | $1.3 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Obama divorce in 2025?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.982 | $1.6 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.76 | $0.979 | $2.7 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.968 | $1.23 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.42 | $0.967 | $2.34 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Meteora FDV above $6B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.997 | $1.42 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.44 | $0.969 | $1.4 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit China by October 31?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.997 | $1.17 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.996 | $1.25 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,700 October 20-26?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.990 | $1.14 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,600 October 20-26?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.986 | $1.2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on October 23?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.970 | $5.7 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.73 | $0.990 | $2.7 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.960 | $8 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.985 | $4.94 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.955 | $4.8 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.984 | $5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 9.19 | $0.979 | $9 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.998 | $4 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.988 | $5.64 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 5.78 | $0.987 | $5.7 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5.98 | $0.970 | $5.8 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.67 | $0.967 | $5.48 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 6.09 | $0.919 | $5.6 | May 27, 2025 |
 Fed rate hike in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.990 | $5.15 | May 3, 2025 |
 Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 5.43 | $0.982 | $5.33 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?Yes | sell | 5.83 | $0.983 | $5.73 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?Yes | buy | 5.83 | $0.960 | $5.6 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.976 | $5.3 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.017 | $22.1 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.014 | $11.2 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Chelsea wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 177.7 | $0.032 | $5.69 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Chelsea wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 556.94 | $0.036 | $20.05 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 104.48 | $0.860 | $89.85 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 104.48 | $0.870 | $90.9 | Sep 9, 2024 |