Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.68K | $0.461 | $1.43K | +$199.14 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.860 | $1.65 | 11h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.59K |
| $0.841 |
| $1.36K |
| +$22.39 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.76K | $0.469 | $941.76 | +$115.22 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 1.06K | $0.630 | $697.09 | +$26.44 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1.51K | $0.600 | $280.03 | -$627.87 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 305.24 | $0.655 | $224.35 | +$24.4 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 256.75 | $0.802 | $201.55 | -$4.43 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 200.62 | $0.518 | $173.54 | +$69.55 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 255.89 | $0.598 | $166.33 | +$13.18 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 134.92 | $0.482 | $112.19 | +$47.21 |
 Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026? | No | 58.92 | $0.832 | $57.39 | +$8.38 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 51.93 | $0.780 | $43.88 | +$3.38 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 76.77 | $0.653 | $35.7 | -$14.43 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.47K | $0.011 | $23.5 | -$4.64 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1.09 | $0.850 | $1.03 | +$0.1 |
| sell |
| 0.15 |
| $0.860 |
| $0.13 |
| 20h ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.07 | $0.860 | $0.06 | 20h ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.860 | $0.04 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.14 | $0.860 | $0.12 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.860 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.860 | $0.05 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 55.41 | $0.860 | $47.65 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 9.89 | $0.730 | $7.22 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 9.89 | $0.730 | $7.22 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 9.89 | $0.730 | $7.22 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 8.25 | $0.730 | $6.02 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 9.89 | $0.730 | $7.22 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 9.89 | $0.730 | $7.22 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 2.44 | $0.860 | $2.1 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.860 | $0.03 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.860 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.21 | $0.860 | $0.18 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.860 | $0.04 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.860 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.860 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.860 | $0.14 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.860 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.860 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.860 | $0.13 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.860 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.860 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.860 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.14 | $0.860 | $0.12 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.860 | $0.04 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.860 | $0.05 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.860 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.89 | $0.860 | $0.77 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.860 | $0.03 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.07 | $0.860 | $0.06 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.860 | $0.09 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.860 | $0.04 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 18.04 | $0.860 | $15.51 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.28 | $0.860 | $0.24 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.07 | $0.860 | $0.06 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.860 | $0.05 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.36 | $0.860 | $0.31 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.860 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.860 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 1.93 | $0.860 | $1.66 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.860 | $0.04 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 39.77 | $0.860 | $34.2 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 25.1 | $0.860 | $21.59 | 1d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.780 | $62.4 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 24.29 | $0.630 | $15.3 | 4d ago |