Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 56.12 | $0.980 | $54.16 | -$0.84 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates in May?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | May 15, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.02 |
| $0.997 |
| $5 |
| Nov 29, 2025 |
 Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Spanberger?Mamdani | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?Yes | buy | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 2025 September hottest on record?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.999 | $9 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 51.41K | $0.995 | $51.15K | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 51.41K | $0.996 | $51.2K | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 56.12 | $0.980 | $55 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Graz host Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.130 | $65 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Cardi B and Stefon Diggs breakup before August?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.988 | $6 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27?No | buy | 7.22 | $0.969 | $7 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.900 | $6 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on May 30?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | May 30, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $2,800 on May 30?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 76°F or below on May 1?No | buy | 7.07 | $0.990 | $7 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Trump positive approval on May 1?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will an FBI agent be charged for involvement in Jan 6?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Andrew Tate arrested before April?No | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will FC Midtjylland beat Real Sociedad?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.990 | $9 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto", "Cryptocurrency", or "Bitcoin" during his Thursday press conference?No | buy | 8.6 | $0.930 | $8 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.994 | $6 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Canada federal election in 2024?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.991 | $6 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?Yes | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2024 World Rapid Championship?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 20-27?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Tottenham win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.910 | $6 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Liverpool lead the EPL in points at midway point?Yes | buy | 7.16 | $0.977 | $7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.988 | $6 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?No | buy | 6.39 | $0.939 | $6 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.960 | $6 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 CA-13 election: Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R)Gray | buy | 6.04 | $0.993 | $6 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.899 | $5 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?Alaska | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?Wisconsin | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.989 | $6 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Harris win Virginia by 6+ points?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Nov 26, 2024 |