Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 0.74 | $0.580 | $0.59 | +$0.16 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 35 | $0.969 | $33.92 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 35 |
| $0.969 |
| $33.92 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.079 | $0.79 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 39 | $0.680 | $26.52 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 39 | $0.670 | $26.13 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.170 | $5.78 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.510 | $30.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.963 | $28.89 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.963 | $28.89 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.937 | $29.98 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.580 | $30.16 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.580 | $24.36 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.860 | $32.68 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.780 | $21.84 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.063 | $4.6 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.061 | $1.89 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 130 | $0.170 | $22.1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.880 | $9.68 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.450 | $1.35 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 59.98 | $0.460 | $27.59 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.460 | $28.98 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.964 | $28.92 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.820 | $28.7 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.490 | $3.92 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 62 | $0.510 | $31.62 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 74 | $0.450 | $33.3 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.210 | $2.94 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.220 | $18.92 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 32 | $0.957 | $30.62 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.041 | $3.44 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.770 | $6.16 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.770 | $16.17 | May 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.480 | $14.4 | May 30, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 52 | $0.710 | $36.92 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.570 | $10.26 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.580 | $7.54 | May 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 74 | $0.560 | $41.44 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 74 | $0.560 | $41.44 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 38 | $0.985 | $37.43 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.985 | $37.43 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.985 | $37.43 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.015 | $1.2 | May 26, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 44 | $0.930 | $40.92 | May 26, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.930 | $40.92 | May 26, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.759 | $4.55 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.051 | $2.14 | May 26, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.949 | $37.01 | May 25, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.955 | $37.25 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.256 | $4.86 | May 24, 2026 |