Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 149.6 | $0.881 | $143.69 | +$11.93 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 11.76 |
| $0.850 |
| $11.31 |
| +$1.31 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 11.76 | $0.850 | $11.12 | +$1.12 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10.57 | +$0.57 |
 Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.880 | $9.57 | +$0.77 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.890 | $9.55 | +$0.65 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | No | 5.44 | $0.870 | $5.24 | +$0.5 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 21.74 | $0.230 | $3.37 | -$1.63 |
 China coup attempt before 2027? | No | 3 | $0.900 | $2.89 | +$0.19 |
| buy |
| 21.74 |
| $0.230 |
| $5 |
| Mar 2, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 39.68 | $0.630 | $25 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.892 | $27.04 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.952 | $9.52 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No | sell | 3.69 | $0.959 | $3.54 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No | buy | 3.69 | $0.840 | $3.1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?No | sell | 24.99 | $0.120 | $3 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2025?No | sell | 15.26 | $0.994 | $15.17 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2025?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.420 | $6.3 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.900 | $22.5 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 US bank failure by March 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No | buy | 5.44 | $0.870 | $4.73 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 97.4 | $0.154 | $15 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 9.55 | $0.105 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | sell | 39.21 | $0.500 | $19.61 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Nov 7, 2025 |