Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.25 | $0.736 | $2.89 | +$0.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.4 | $0.090 | $0.94 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2.7 |
| $0.628 |
| $2.55 |
| +$0.85 |
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 2.97 | $0.211 | $0.64 | +$0.01 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 0.29 | $0.625 | $0.24 | +$0.06 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | Yes | 3.07 | $0.300 | $0.17 | -$0.75 |
 Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.13 | $0.160 | $0.12 | -$0.22 |
 Obama arrested before 2027? | Yes | 3.82 | $0.097 | $0.11 | -$0.27 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 0.18 | $0.400 | $0.07 | -$0.01 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 0.48 | $0.160 | $0.06 | -$0.01 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 0.25 | $0.159 | $0.03 | -$0.01 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | Yes | 0.59 | $0.130 | $0.03 | -$0.04 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 0.13 | $0.420 | $0.01 | -$0.04 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 0.53 | $0.047 | $0 | -$0.02 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 0.22 | $0.120 | $0 | -$0.03 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.12 | $0.046 | $0 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 9.52 |
| $0.910 |
| $8.66 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 48.08 | $0.953 | $45.82 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 595.87 | $0.207 | $123.35 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 130.13 | $0.966 | $125.71 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | sell | 244.73 | $0.866 | $211.91 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 245.52 | $0.940 | $230.79 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 595.87 | $0.160 | $95.34 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 586.54 | $0.800 | $469.23 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 118.06 | $0.963 | $113.69 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | sell | 63.75 | $0.992 | $63.24 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.987 | $5.02 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 513.04 | $0.690 | $354 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?No | sell | 391.99 | $0.160 | $62.72 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.16K | $0.848 | $4.38K | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.003 | $0.3 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 15.77K | $0.951 | $15K | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?No | buy | 13.87K | $0.003 | $41.61 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?No | buy | 67.74K | $0.002 | $135.47 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?No | sell | 36.17 | $0.840 | $30.38 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 31 | $0.024 | $0.74 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | buy | 170.12 | $0.800 | $136.1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | buy | 74.61 | $0.790 | $58.94 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 279.8 | $0.670 | $187.47 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?No | sell | 343.97 | $0.312 | $107.29 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No | sell | 445.88 | $0.422 | $188.36 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?No | sell | 2.31K | $0.310 | $716.28 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.692 | $27.68 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 212.26 | $0.661 | $140.3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 279.64 | $0.660 | $184.56 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 279.64 | $0.660 | $184.56 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | sell | 6.18K | $0.999 | $6.17K | Jun 8, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?No | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?No | buy | 40.3 | $0.060 | $2.42 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?No | buy | 48.86 | $0.080 | $3.91 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.020 | $0.12 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.019 | $0.48 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No | buy | 859.69 | $0.033 | $28.37 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.032 | $38.11 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No | buy | 200 | $0.031 | $6.2 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No | buy | 593.65 | $0.030 | $17.71 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No | buy | 2.26K | $0.030 | $67.93 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No | buy | 2.57K | $0.027 | $69.42 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.034 | $39.6 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No | buy | 949.39 | $0.033 | $31.33 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No | buy | 67.7K | $0.001 | $67.7 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No | buy | 220.08 | $0.350 | $77.03 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No | buy | 220.08 | $0.350 | $77.03 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No | buy | 220.08 | $0.350 | $77.03 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No | buy | 224.68 | $0.350 | $78.64 | Jun 8, 2026 |