Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.460 | $17.02 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 45 |
| $0.780 |
| $35.1 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 74 | $0.420 | $31.08 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 18 | $0.420 | $7.56 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 18 | $0.430 | $7.74 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.190 | $6.84 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 38 | $0.850 | $32.3 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 36 | $0.910 | $32.76 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 42 | $0.860 | $36.12 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.057 | $2.11 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.930 | $33.48 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 37 | $0.984 | $36.41 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.270 | $19.98 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.270 | $2.97 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 18 | $0.180 | $3.24 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.690 | $36.57 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.350 | $28 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.066 | $5.08 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 46 | $0.937 | $43.1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.939 | $43.19 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.310 | $24.49 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 127.48 | $0.310 | $39.52 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.620 | $23.56 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 81 | $0.450 | $36.45 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.450 | $36.45 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.660 | $29.04 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.660 | $40.92 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.470 | $42.3 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 66 | $0.580 | $38.28 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 66 | $0.560 | $36.96 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.807 | $40.35 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.191 | $2.87 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.190 | $7.79 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 26 | $0.983 | $25.56 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.987 | $25.66 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.014 | $0.53 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.014 | $1.08 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.981 | $37.28 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 54 | $0.630 | $34.02 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 65 | $0.620 | $40.3 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.979 | $0.98 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 36 | $0.973 | $35.03 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.965 | $34.74 | May 29, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.070 | $0.56 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.760 | $34.96 | May 29, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.967 | $37.71 | May 29, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.964 | $38.56 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.876 | $35.04 | May 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 36 | $0.210 | $7.56 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.220 | $1.76 | May 27, 2026 |