Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.999 | $4.99 | May 4, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 2.12 |
| $0.945 |
| $2.07 |
| +$0.07 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
 Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 2.12 | $0.944 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 2.07 | $0.966 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 2.02 | $0.992 | $1.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2.04 | $0.981 | $1.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 2.2 | $0.909 | $1.84 | -$0.16 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2.15 | $0.930 | $1.77 | -$0.23 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 2.17 | $0.921 | $0.14 | -$1.86 |
| buy |
| 4.99 |
| $0.999 |
| $4.99 |
| May 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.999 | $4.99 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.999 | $4.99 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.999 | $4.99 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.999 | $4.99 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.999 | $4.99 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?No | sell | 5.16 | $0.998 | $5.15 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.987 | $4.01 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.985 | $1.09 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 5.58 | $0.994 | $5.55 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.997 | $1.09 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.997 | $1.09 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.997 | $1.08 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.73 | $0.997 | $1.72 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.997 | $1.64 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.996 | $4.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.955 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.992 | $2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Hyperlend FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.972 | $2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.929 | $2 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.967 | $2 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.951 | $2 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.946 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.939 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 1?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.981 | $2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.973 | $2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.945 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.962 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 1?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.953 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will it Snow in Seattle this weekend (January 24 - 26)?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.984 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.984 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |