Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 4.42 | $0.904 | $4.31 | +$0.31 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | 10d ago |
|
| buy |
| 11.11 |
| $0.090 |
| $1 |
| 10d ago |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 4.42 | $0.904 | $4 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.158 | $1.11 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.143 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | May 21, 2025 |
 Claude 4 released in May?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.880 | $5.86 | May 21, 2025 |
| Claude 4 released in May?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | May 21, 2025 |
 GPT-5 released in 2024?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.760 | $4 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.700 | $4 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 75.76 | $0.396 | $30 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | sell | 10.52 | $0.975 | $10.26 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?No | sell | 10.64 | $0.966 | $10.28 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Trump in jail before election day?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.022 | $0.04 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Trump in jail before election day?No | sell | 14.02 | $0.972 | $13.63 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Trump in jail before election day?No | buy | 8.4 | $0.978 | $8.22 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.954 | $2.12 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jul 28, 2024 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Jul 28, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Jul 3, 2024 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Jul 1, 2024 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | sell | 0.56 | $0.570 | $0.32 | Jul 1, 2024 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?No | sell | 5.44 | $0.910 | $4.95 | Jul 1, 2024 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.918 | $5 | Apr 4, 2024 |
 Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in April?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.060 | $0.1 | Apr 4, 2024 |
 Trump and Biden debate before Election?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Apr 4, 2024 |
 Congress passes bill banning TikTok by April 30?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.940 | $2.47 | Mar 24, 2024 |
| Congress passes bill banning TikTok by April 30?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Mar 15, 2024 |
 US government shutdown by Mar 9?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1 | Mar 9, 2024 |
 Will Nikki Haley drop out in March?Yes | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Mar 6, 2024 |
 Bitcoin all time high by March 5?No | buy | 0.58 | $0.860 | $0.5 | Mar 5, 2024 |
+emblazoned+across+its+surface.+The+symbol+is+designed+to+appear+as+if+it's+part+of+the+sun's+fi.webp) Bitcoin all time high today?No | buy | 0.59 | $0.850 | $0.5 | Mar 4, 2024 |
 Will 2024 have the hottest February on record?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Mar 4, 2024 |
 Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Mar 3, 2024 |
| Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Mar 3, 2024 |
| US government shutdown by Mar 9?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.940 | $1.5 | Mar 1, 2024 |
 Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5 | Mar 1, 2024 |
| Trump in jail before election day?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Mar 1, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Monday?No | buy | 0.77 | $0.979 | $0.75 | Mar 1, 2024 |
 SBF reduced sentence because autism?No | buy | 0.67 | $0.750 | $0.5 | Mar 1, 2024 |
 Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?Yes | sell | 0.67 | $0.601 | $0.4 | Mar 1, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Monday?No | buy | 0.21 | $0.960 | $0.2 | Feb 29, 2024 |
 Will Nikki Haley drop out in February?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Feb 28, 2024 |
| Will Nikki Haley drop out in February?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Feb 28, 2024 |
 Will Daniel Alegre change pfp by April 1?No | sell | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Feb 28, 2024 |
| Will BTC hit $60,000 in February?No | sell | 0.69 | $0.780 | $0.54 | Feb 27, 2024 |
| Will Nikki Haley drop out in February?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 Do Kwon extradited before March?No | buy | 0.52 | $0.970 | $0.5 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 Ukraine aid package in February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 More hostages in Gaza freed by Feb 29?No | buy | 0.52 | $0.970 | $0.5 | Feb 27, 2024 |