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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 761.09 | $0.535 | $361.52 | -$45.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 359.82 |
| $0.477 |
| $282.46 |
| +$110.74 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 256.55 | $0.655 | $219.74 | +$51.73 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 244.61 | $0.697 | $185.78 | +$15.28 |
 StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 175.44 | $0.570 | $151.76 | +$51.75 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 163.93 | $0.610 | $149.18 | +$49.18 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 153.85 | $0.650 | $142.31 | +$42.31 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 142.86 | $0.700 | $139.29 | +$39.29 |
 Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 136.99 | $0.730 | $136.24 | +$36.23 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 128.21 | $0.780 | $127.7 | +$27.69 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | 131.58 | $0.760 | $123.03 | +$23.03 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 125 | $0.800 | $122.88 | +$22.88 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 131.58 | $0.760 | $121.05 | +$21.05 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | 133.33 | $0.750 | $120.66 | +$20.67 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 181.82 | $0.550 | $117.27 | +$17.27 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 181.82 | $0.550 | $111.82 | +$11.82 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 212.77 | $0.470 | $105.85 | +$5.85 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 93.68 | $0.658 | $87.59 | +$25.9 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 217.39 | $0.460 | $85.87 | -$14.13 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 86.17 | $0.673 | $78.41 | +$20.38 |
 Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 135.13 | $0.740 | $76.35 | -$23.65 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 147.06 | $0.680 | $72.79 | -$27.21 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 83.33 | $0.640 | $72.08 | +$18.75 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 151.52 | $0.660 | $71.97 | -$28.03 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 59.99 | $0.640 | $48.89 | +$10.5 |
| sell |
| 8.99 |
| $0.960 |
| $8.63 |
| Jan 9, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8.99 | $0.950 | $8.54 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8.99 | $0.950 | $8.54 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 307.69 | $0.070 | $21.54 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 9.61 | $0.520 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 22.99 | $0.730 | $16.78 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.860 | $2.5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 7.26 | $0.350 | $2.54 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No | buy | 14.58 | $0.720 | $10.5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 14.79 | $0.710 | $10.5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | sell | 2.25 | $0.430 | $0.97 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.74 | $0.450 | $9.78 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.74 | $0.450 | $9.78 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.74 | $0.450 | $9.78 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.74 | $0.450 | $9.78 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.1 | $0.710 | $6.46 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.74 | $0.480 | $10.44 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.74 | $0.480 | $10.44 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.32 | $0.820 | $7.64 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.1 | $0.840 | $7.64 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.690 | $15 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 11.52 | $0.795 | $9.16 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No | sell | 27.78 | $0.490 | $13.61 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.914 | $10.5 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.57 | $0.946 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | sell | 5.84 | $0.703 | $4.11 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No | sell | 3.41 | $0.505 | $1.72 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 7.2 | $0.630 | $4.54 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1.88 | $0.640 | $1.2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.640 | $1.4 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?No | sell | 74.06 | $0.280 | $20.74 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 8.76 | $0.990 | $8.67 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.210 | $0 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?Yes | sell | 19.04 | $0.180 | $3.43 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?Yes | buy | 8.69 | $0.230 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-01-04?No | sell | 76.92 | $0.250 | $19.23 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?No | sell | 2.35 | $0.820 | $1.93 | Jan 4, 2026 |