Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 1.22K | $0.400 | $359.9 | -$128.1 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 562 | $0.051 | $28.49 | 5d ago |
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| Yes |
| 600.01 |
| $0.670 |
| $267.01 |
| -$135 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 575 | $0.650 | $261.63 | -$112.13 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 3.64K | $0.109 | $256.62 | -$140.14 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 306.99 | $0.538 | $145.82 | -$19.28 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 180.56 | $0.720 | $102.02 | -$27.99 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | No | 256.36 | $0.410 | $101.26 | -$3.85 |
| buy |
| 600 |
| $0.670 |
| $402 |
| 12d ago |
Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 1.22K | $0.410 | $500.2 | 12d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | sell | 158 | $0.720 | $113.76 | 17d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 30 | $0.680 | $20.4 | 17d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 30 | $0.700 | $21 | 19d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.43K | $0.400 | $572 | Aug 11, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 270 | $0.754 | $203.55 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.460 | $563.5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.885 | $88.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | sell | 203.13 | $0.350 | $71.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 634.25 | $0.212 | $134.75 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | sell | 115 | $0.321 | $36.93 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | sell | 420.84 | $0.610 | $256.71 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 46.26 | $0.790 | $36.55 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | sell | 1.13K | $0.270 | $305.14 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | sell | 30.46 | $0.640 | $19.49 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 406.64 | $0.350 | $142.32 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 330 | $0.761 | $251.13 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 514.33 | $0.360 | $185.41 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 292.86 | $0.860 | $251.86 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 400.87 | $0.053 | $21.26 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 730.01 | $0.951 | $694.24 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 730 | $0.959 | $700.04 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 755 | $0.934 | $705.42 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.910 | $136.5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.908 | $4.54 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 629 | $0.286 | $179.99 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | buy | 610 | $0.639 | $389.96 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.600 | $180 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 1.32K | $0.380 | $501.6 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.196 | $39.2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.193 | $211.13 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 111.56 | $0.400 | $44.62 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 520 | $0.757 | $393.64 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 330 | $0.570 | $188.1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 16.14 | $0.860 | $13.88 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | sell | 73.83 | $0.730 | $53.9 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 259 | $0.350 | $90.65 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 480 | $0.829 | $397.92 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes | sell | 166.07 | $0.630 | $104.62 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.190 | $30.4 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 320.28 | $0.370 | $118.5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 414.04 | $0.352 | $145.76 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 130.56 | $0.310 | $40.47 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?No | sell | 26 | $0.910 | $23.66 | Jun 27, 2026 |