Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.9 | $0.294 | $26.7 | Jul 8, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 130 |
| $0.395 |
| $51.35 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.85 | $0.281 | $2.49 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?No | sell | 86.45 | $0.940 | $81.26 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?No | buy | 86.46 | $0.960 | $83 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No | sell | 91.16 | $0.927 | $84.48 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No | buy | 91.16 | $0.954 | $87 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | sell | 89.81 | $0.969 | $87.03 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | buy | 89.82 | $0.980 | $88 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over | sell | 88.07 | $0.999 | $87.98 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over | buy | 88.07 | $0.897 | $79 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | sell | 80.2 | $0.986 | $79.08 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | buy | 80.2 | $0.985 | $79 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5Over | sell | 79.91 | $0.999 | $79.83 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5Over | buy | 79.91 | $0.900 | $71.92 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No | sell | 74.46 | $0.910 | $67.76 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No | buy | 74.47 | $0.940 | $70 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.920 | $73.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.930 | $74.4 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5Over | buy | 121.05 | $0.190 | $23 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Human moon landing in 2026?No | sell | 47.94 | $0.970 | $46.49 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.890 | $53.4 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026?No | buy | 47.94 | $0.972 | $46.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.900 | $54 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.956 | $47.78 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 55 | $0.938 | $51.59 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.961 | $48.05 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 55 | $0.939 | $51.64 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 54 | $0.967 | $52.22 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?SpaceX | sell | 50 | $0.978 | $48.9 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 54 | $0.968 | $52.27 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?SpaceX | buy | 50 | $0.979 | $48.95 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 44.97 | $0.983 | $44.21 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No | sell | 70 | $0.834 | $58.38 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 44.97 | $0.985 | $44.3 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.930 | $65.1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 59 | $0.962 | $56.76 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.983 | $49.15 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Epstein client list released by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.987 | $49.35 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 59 | $0.975 | $57.53 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.935 | $56.09 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No | sell | 55.4 | $0.964 | $53.41 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No | buy | 47 | $0.967 | $45.45 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No | buy | 8.4 | $0.966 | $8.11 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.940 | $56.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.959 | $47.95 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.890 | $62.3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.957 | $47.85 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.900 | $63 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No | sell | 38 | $0.700 | $26.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |