Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 1.27K | $0.509 | $1.07K | +$426.14 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 56.19 | $0.573 | $32.18 | 14h ago |
|
| No |
| 677.48 |
| $0.962 |
| $651.4 |
| -$0.42 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 579.96 | $0.817 | $492.67 | +$18.71 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 387.96 | $0.667 | $287.09 | +$28.32 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 280.74 | $0.689 | $203.54 | +$10.06 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 294.82 | $0.710 | $196.05 | -$13.27 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 195.82 | $0.837 | $168.99 | +$5.09 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 772.09 | $0.078 | $91.49 | +$30.93 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 243.87 | $0.358 | $76.82 | -$10.62 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 84.49 | $0.646 | $69.71 | +$15.13 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | No | 68.78 | $0.900 | $65.68 | +$3.78 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 67.28 | $0.945 | $62.9 | -$0.66 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 70.8 | $0.790 | $58.41 | +$2.48 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 47.88 | $0.909 | $44.77 | +$1.25 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 42.23 | $0.841 | $36.95 | +$1.44 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 106.87 | $0.413 | $28.85 | -$15.34 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 816.07 | $0.054 | $24.89 | -$19.16 |
 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.99K | $0.007 | $21.94 | -$5.98 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 280.74 | $0.111 | $20.63 | -$10.51 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 79.64 | $0.280 | $17.92 | -$4.38 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 19.95 | $0.820 | $17.26 | +$0.9 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 111.75 | $0.177 | $15.09 | -$4.7 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 34.45 | $0.479 | $13.09 | -$3.4 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 59.22 | $0.345 | $12.73 | -$7.73 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 76.44 | $0.180 | $9.94 | -$3.82 |
| buy |
| 4.78 |
| $0.690 |
| $3.3 |
| 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 4.87 | $0.690 | $3.36 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.700 | $1.41 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 23.99 | $0.790 | $18.95 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 20.54 | $0.800 | $16.43 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 51.53 | $0.243 | $12.5 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 3.37 | $0.376 | $1.27 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.81 | $0.370 | $1.04 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 13.82 | $0.380 | $5.25 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 8.84 | $0.370 | $3.27 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 8.22 | $0.350 | $2.88 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 16.39 | $0.350 | $5.74 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 42.76 | $0.373 | $15.94 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.380 | $1.73 | 15h ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.67 | $0.120 | $1.76 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 15.98 | $0.660 | $10.55 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.670 | $0.74 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 15.32 | $0.660 | $10.11 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 19.19 | $0.680 | $13.05 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 13.21 | $0.670 | $8.85 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 25.21 | $0.660 | $16.64 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.910 | $20.45 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.41 | $0.908 | $23.07 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 22.75 | $0.640 | $14.56 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 36.53 | $0.640 | $23.38 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.49 | $0.350 | $12.42 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.87 | $0.150 | $3.43 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.76 | $0.170 | $1.32 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.71 | $0.170 | $12.19 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.47 | $0.360 | $1.25 | 2d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 70.8 | $0.790 | $55.93 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.81 | $0.360 | $3.17 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.11 | $0.360 | $5.8 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.360 | $64.8 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.62 | $0.470 | $2.17 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.83 | $0.480 | $14.32 | 2d ago |
 Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Yes | buy | 13.53 | $0.960 | $12.99 | 2d ago |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Yes | buy | 91.45 | $0.907 | $82.97 | 2d ago |
 Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 17.13 | $0.080 | $1.37 | 3d ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 8.96 | $0.680 | $6.09 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.82 | $0.457 | $8.14 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.89 | $0.390 | $6.2 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.390 | $1.26 | 5d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.58 | $0.660 | $3.68 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 17.55 | $0.639 | $11.22 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.4 | $0.630 | $4.03 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.31 | $0.450 | $1.04 | 5d ago |