Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 9.61 | $0.030 | $0.29 | Jan 31, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 15.62 |
| $0.013 |
| $0.2 |
| Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 170.83 | $0.003 | $0.51 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.001 | $0.17 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Atlanta Hawks?Yes | sell | 29.47 | $0.011 | $0.33 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.003 | $0.5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | sell | 33.16 | $0.018 | $0.6 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?No | sell | 43.47 | $0.012 | $0.53 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.003 | $0.38 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.031 | $0.65 | Jan 31, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.050 | $0.63 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.041 | $0.68 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| sell | 275.08 | $0.002 | $0.55 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?No | sell | 58.82 | $0.010 | $0.57 | Jan 31, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 200 | $0.002 | $0.4 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.63 | $0.067 | $0.71 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?No | sell | 26.23 | $0.029 | $0.76 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 20.58 | $0.036 | $0.74 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.012 | $0.75 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.022 | $0.81 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?No | sell | 34.08 | $0.019 | $0.64 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.070 | $0.78 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.064 | $0.85 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.071 | $0.84 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 76.98 | $0.010 | $0.77 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.050 | $0.83 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.010 | $0.83 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Sanseitō win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.050 | $0.83 | Jan 31, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.044 | $0.88 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.028 | $0.88 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 53.25 | $0.014 | $0.73 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 4.2 | $0.222 | $0.93 | Jan 31, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.070 | $0.88 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.041 | $0.93 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than or equal to 0.0%?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.050 | $0.56 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 11.76 | $0.082 | $0.97 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.009 | $0.9 | Jan 31, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.080 | $0.89 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.043 | $0.96 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.063 | $0.95 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | sell | 21.14 | $0.045 | $0.96 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.061 | $0.98 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.910 | $0.99 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 15.14 | $0.065 | $0.98 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.064 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?Yes | sell | 12.65 | $0.080 | $1.01 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.044 | $1.05 | Jan 31, 2026 |