Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.21 | $0.330 | $2.71 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 166.67 |
| $0.006 |
| $0.25 |
| -$0.75 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 0.23 | $0.377 | $0.04 | -$0.05 |
 Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.118 | $0.01 | -$1.18 |
| sell |
| 1.3 |
| $0.972 |
| $1.26 |
| Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.57 | $0.770 | $1.21 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.968 | $1.61 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.79 | $0.960 | $1.72 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.870 | $1.71 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 1.98 | $0.600 | $1.19 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 3.69 | $0.999 | $3.69 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes | sell | 6.34 | $0.991 | $6.28 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | sell | 9.74 | $0.680 | $6.62 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.76 | $0.230 | $2.24 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 9.95 | $0.430 | $4.28 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Yes | sell | 11.6 | $0.360 | $4.18 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No | sell | 12.3 | $0.999 | $12.29 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.15 | $0.352 | $1.81 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 19.16 | $0.130 | $2.49 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 20.21 | $0.219 | $4.43 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?No | sell | 21.7 | $0.311 | $6.75 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | sell | 23.84 | $0.100 | $2.38 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.5 | $0.220 | $5.39 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 24.85 | $0.205 | $5.09 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 28.87 | $0.200 | $5.77 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.8 | $0.670 | $2.55 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.510 | $2.12 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.8 | $0.130 | $0.62 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | sell | 2.26 | $0.810 | $1.83 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.98 | $0.979 | $4.88 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.979 | $4.9 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No | sell | 7.01 | $0.630 | $4.42 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.910 | $1.19 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Yes | sell | 3.62 | $0.110 | $0.4 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.720 | $1.29 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.400 | $1.01 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.116 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.780 | $1.23 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.046 | $0.46 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.950 | $1.58 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.049 | $2.45 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 1.98 | $0.590 | $1.17 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.470 | $2.34 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Jun 27, 2026 |