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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 171.61 | $0.230 | $11.15 | -$28.32 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?Yes | buy | 466.26 | $0.627 | $292.57 | May 5, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 12.63 |
| $0.396 |
| $1.93 |
| -$3.07 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 35.79 | $0.280 | $1.61 | -$8.41 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.090 | $1.5 | -$3.5 |
| buy |
| 35.79 |
| $0.280 |
| $10.02 |
| May 1, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.29 | $0.330 | $1.09 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.29 | $0.340 | $1.12 | May 1, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 152.85 | $0.005 | $0.76 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | sell | 176.92 | $0.002 | $0.35 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 171.61 | $0.230 | $39.47 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No | sell | 40.27 | $0.980 | $39.46 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 40.27 | $0.730 | $29.4 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.946 | $5.25 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | sell | 26.48 | $0.912 | $24.15 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No | buy | 9.93 | $0.610 | $6.06 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 26.63 | $0.190 | $5.06 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 12.63 | $0.396 | $5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETUp | buy | 33.64 | $0.130 | $4.37 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETDown | buy | 5.13 | $0.970 | $4.98 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETDown | buy | 5.48 | $0.900 | $4.93 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETUp | buy | 4.75 | $0.650 | $3.09 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown | buy | 5.27 | $0.940 | $4.96 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETUp | buy | 7.01 | $0.680 | $4.77 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 10.85 | $0.910 | $9.87 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 20.17 | $0.220 | $4.44 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETUp | buy | 14.41 | $0.060 | $0.86 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 127.71 | $0.039 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 12.04 | $0.954 | $11.49 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 111.67 | $0.045 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 136.99 | $0.073 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.063 | $1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.37 | $0.700 | $0.96 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp | buy | 15.03 | $0.630 | $9.47 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 136.99 | $0.073 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 115.95 | $0.850 | $98.56 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 115.96 | $0.700 | $81.17 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | buy | 26.49 | $0.378 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 542.07 | $0.037 | $20 | Jan 23, 2026 |