Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.350 | $3.41 | +$2.16 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.710 | $0.03 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.7 |
| $0.540 |
| $2.55 |
| +$1.09 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 11.54 | $0.130 | $2.19 | +$0.69 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 2.18 | $0.704 | $2.06 | +$0.52 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 4.41 | $0.340 | $2.05 | +$0.55 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.08 | $0.720 | $1.99 | +$0.49 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 2.17 | $0.690 | $1.99 | +$0.49 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.9 | $0.790 | $1.88 | +$0.38 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | No | 2 | $0.750 | $1.79 | +$0.29 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 3.85 | $0.390 | $1.79 | +$0.29 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.75 | $0.860 | $1.73 | +$0.23 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 7.89 | $0.190 | $1.66 | +$0.16 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 1.72 | $0.870 | $1.64 | +$0.14 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 15.63 | $0.211 | $1.64 | -$1.65 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.76 | $0.852 | $1.63 | +$0.13 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | No | 1.74 | $0.860 | $1.62 | +$0.12 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 4.42 | $0.226 | $1.62 | +$0.62 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.81 | $0.700 | $1.61 | +$0.34 |
 Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? | No | 1.76 | $0.850 | $1.6 | +$0.1 |
 Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 1.69 | $0.890 | $1.59 | +$0.09 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 1.95 | $0.769 | $1.59 | +$0.09 |
 Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.65 | $0.910 | $1.58 | +$0.08 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 2.18 | $0.560 | $1.58 | +$0.36 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 1.7 | $0.815 | $1.57 | +$0.19 |
 Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.61 | $0.930 | $1.56 | +$0.06 |
| buy |
| 1.56 |
| $0.801 |
| $1.25 |
| 5h ago |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 0.24 | $0.342 | $0.08 | 5h ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.66 | $0.470 | $1.25 | 1d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.700 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.700 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.710 | $0.11 | 1d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.290 | $1.5 | 2d ago |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.800 | $1.25 | 2d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.950 | $1.35 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.19 | $0.830 | $0.16 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.800 | $0.02 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.810 | $0.02 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.810 | $0.02 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.820 | $0.05 | 3d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.700 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
 Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.76 | $0.850 | $1.5 | 4d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.29 | $0.680 | $0.2 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 2.83 | $0.680 | $1.92 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.700 | $1.25 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.55 | $0.680 | $0.37 | 5d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.41 | $0.700 | $0.29 | 5d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.700 | $0.06 | 5d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.710 | $0.06 | 5d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.700 | $0.06 | 5d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.710 | $0.05 | 5d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.710 | $0.05 | 5d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.710 | $0.03 | 5d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.710 | $0.01 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.74 | $0.720 | $1.25 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.660 | $1.25 | 6d ago |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 9.35 | $0.107 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.900 | $1.25 | 6d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.170 | $0 | 7d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.170 | $0.02 | 7d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.58 | $0.170 | $0.1 | 7d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.110 | $0.04 | 7d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.17 | $0.090 | $0.02 | 8d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.23 | $0.090 | $0.11 | 8d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.100 | $0.04 | 8d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 4.42 | $0.226 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.930 | $0.08 | 9d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.600 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 14.56 | $0.103 | $1.5 | 10d ago |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.930 | $0.07 | 10d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.82 | $0.013 | $0.01 | 11d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 11d ago |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.850 | $0.01 | 11d ago |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.850 | $0.02 | 12d ago |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.850 | $0.9 | 12d ago |