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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 33 | $0.506 | $17.66 | +$0.97 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.530 | $6.89 | 5h ago |
|
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.585 |
| $9.95 |
| -$1.75 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.690 | $7.5 | +$0.6 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.680 | $7.25 | +$0.45 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.600 | $6.55 | +$0.55 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.610 | $6.35 | +$0.25 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.530 | $5.65 | +$0.35 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.600 | $5.6 | -$0.4 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.530 | $5.55 | +$0.25 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.490 | $5.05 | +$0.15 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.450 | $3.45 | -$1.05 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20 | $0.139 | $3.23 | +$0.44 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.280 | $3.15 | +$0.35 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.145 | $2.9 | $0 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 5 | $0.520 | $2.83 | +$0.23 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 5 | $0.450 | $2.53 | +$0.28 |
 Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | $0 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50 | $0.024 | $1.3 | +$0.1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.120 | $0.75 | -$0.45 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.490 |
| $4.9 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | 2d ago |
 Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | 2d ago |
 Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 26.81 | $0.850 | $22.79 | 8d ago |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.002 | $0.08 | 10d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.01 | $0.909 | $20 | 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | 10d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 37.78 | $0.820 | $30.98 | 10d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 11 | $0.690 | $7.59 | 21d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 26.78 | $0.700 | $18.75 | 21d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.978 | $18.58 | 21d ago |
 Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.783 | $6.26 | 24d ago |
 Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.900 | $7.2 | 28d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.840 | $15.96 | 29d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | 29d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | 29d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | 29d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | 29d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | 29d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | 29d ago |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | 29d ago |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.250 | $7.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.960 | $1.16 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | sell | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No | sell | 30 | $0.860 | $25.8 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.872 | $8.72 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No | buy | 30 | $0.700 | $21 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 54 | $0.978 | $52.81 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.135 | $1.35 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 34.51 | $0.731 | $25.23 | Jul 25, 2026 |