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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.4K | $0.678 | $1.08K | +$136.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?No | buy | 204.71 | $0.977 | $200 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.6K |
| $0.497 |
| $744 |
| -$51.72 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 624.32 | $0.834 | $524.74 | +$4.07 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.194 | $435 | -$147 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 350 | $0.863 | $306.25 | +$4.18 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 500 | $0.500 | $302.5 | +$52.5 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 1.8K | $0.127 | $261 | +$32.32 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 500 | $0.500 | $197.5 | -$52.5 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.910 | $187 | +$5 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 321.36 | $0.347 | $126.94 | +$15.53 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 7K | $0.029 | $115.5 | -$88.49 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 1.65K | $0.084 | $107.25 | -$30.75 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 700 | $0.120 | $87.5 | +$3.5 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2K | $0.030 | $69 | +$9 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 2K | $0.110 | $67 | -$153.99 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 50 | $0.800 | $49.98 | +$9.98 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.390 | $47.25 | -$11.25 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10K | $0.005 | $45 | -$5 |
 Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? | No | 5.19 | $0.907 | $5.17 | +$0.46 |
| sell |
| 556 |
| $0.198 |
| $110.09 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.227 | $45.4 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.581 | $203.35 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.553 | $700 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 40K | $0.015 | $600 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 75K | $0.008 | $600 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.250 | $500 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25K | $0.008 | $250 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.715 | $250.38 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.750 | $1.15 | May 19, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor SecretaryYes | sell | 166.35 | $0.570 | $94.82 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 15 be between 80 and 85?Yes | sell | 16.78 | $0.680 | $11.41 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 500 | $0.961 | $480.5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 16 | $0.720 | $11.52 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.360 | $54 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.390 | $19.5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.388 | $19.39 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 335.88 | $0.149 | $50 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 183.82 | $0.680 | $125 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 209.48 | $0.010 | $2.09 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No | sell | 285 | $0.811 | $231.2 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 900 | $0.423 | $380.48 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 397 | $0.740 | $293.78 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.440 | $29.04 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 202.99 | $0.600 | $121.79 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 529 | $0.424 | $224.1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 329 | $0.456 | $150.14 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.997 | $99.7 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1K | $0.893 | $893 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 1K | $0.830 | $830 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | sell | 6.33K | $0.020 | $128.09 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.058 | $174 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.058 | $193.31 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.963 | $481.5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 750 | $0.810 | $607.5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 135.73 | $0.850 | $115.37 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 266.54 | $0.190 | $50.66 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.438 | $1.75K | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 595.28 | $0.971 | $577.77 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 599.99 | $0.659 | $395.3 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 499.99 | $0.790 | $394.99 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 114.27 | $0.760 | $86.85 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.900 | $270 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Dec 14, 2025 |