Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 10.83 | $0.828 | $9.47 | +$0.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 5d ago |
 |
| No |
| 5.46 |
| $0.738 |
| $4.62 |
| +$0.59 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 4.3 | $0.697 | $4.1 | +$1.1 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.41 | $0.273 | $2.79 | -$0.6 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes | 36.4 | $0.165 | $2.73 | -$3.27 |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $2.65 | +$1.65 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 3.52 | $0.853 | $2.55 | -$0.45 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 3.2 | $0.625 | $2.26 | +$0.26 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | Yes | 15.21 | $0.395 | $2.21 | -$3.79 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 2.17 | $0.923 | $2.16 | +$0.16 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 7.42 | $0.270 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.93 | $0.683 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 2.04 | $0.980 | $1.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes | 2.3 | $0.870 | $1.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 4.98 | $0.401 | $1.57 | -$0.43 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | Yes | 5.14 | $0.389 | $1.5 | -$0.5 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.54 | $0.181 | $1.32 | -$1.68 |
 Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 5.23 | $0.574 | $1.12 | -$1.88 |
 Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 1.05 |
| $0.950 |
| $1 |
| 5d ago |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.31 | $0.097 | $1 | 5d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.87 | $0.710 | $1.33 | 6d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | 17d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will Sydney Gruters be the FL-16 Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | 25d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 28d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.528 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?Yes | buy | 2.26 | $0.443 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Yes | buy | 2.31 | $0.432 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.193 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?Yes | buy | 4.74 | $0.211 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 56.52 | $0.200 | $11.3 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.778 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?Yes | buy | 1.76 | $0.568 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Todd Blanche be the next Attorney General?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.899 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.548 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.545 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.615 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |