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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Base FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 300 | $0.600 | $145.5 | -$34.5 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 215 | $0.999 | $214.79 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 100.1 |
| $0.989 |
| $99 |
| Jun 29, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp | sell | 10.85 | $0.250 | $2.71 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp | buy | 10.85 | $0.461 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 12?No | buy | 103.84 | $0.974 | $101.19 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 101.22 | $0.994 | $100.56 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Superform FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 100.56 | $0.999 | $100.46 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 257.46 | $0.950 | $244.59 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 28?No | buy | 244.59 | $0.999 | $244.25 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 9-15?Yes | buy | 212.45 | $0.998 | $212.03 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12?Down | sell | 327.2 | $0.003 | $0.98 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12?Down | buy | 103.39 | $0.484 | $50 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12?Down | buy | 223.82 | $0.447 | $100 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Almanak FDV above $140M one day after launch?No | buy | 212.03 | $0.943 | $200 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?No | buy | 57.67 | $0.607 | $35 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 11?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.012 | $0.6 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?Yes | sell | 74.94 | $0.176 | $13.19 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.170 | $12.75 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 11?No | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 HumidiFi FDV above $600M one day after launch?No | buy | 800.8 | $0.999 | $800 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)Spirit | buy | 152.17 | $0.460 | $70 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 466.67 | $0.750 | $350 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.999 | $1.02K | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8?Yes | buy | 649.79 | $0.982 | $638.1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No | sell | 413.22 | $0.997 | $412 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No | buy | 118.64 | $0.590 | $70 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No | buy | 413.22 | $0.968 | $400 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 5?Down | buy | 502.39 | $0.999 | $501.89 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?No | sell | 0.35 | $0.968 | $0.34 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?No | buy | 519.03 | $0.963 | $500 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 3?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.083 | $20.75 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 3?No | sell | 250 | $0.039 | $9.8 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 2?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.164 | $41.09 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 2?No | sell | 249.99 | $0.002 | $0.57 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?No | sell | 115.38 | $0.002 | $0.23 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?No | buy | 115.38 | $0.130 | $15 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?No | sell | 510.13 | $0.999 | $509.62 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Over $10M committed to the Makina public sale?No | buy | 1.49K | $0.997 | $1.48K | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?No | buy | 510.13 | $0.980 | $500 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 30?Yes | sell | 99.87 | $0.160 | $15.98 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 30?No | sell | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 30?No | buy | 205.71 | $0.021 | $4.32 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.916 | $45.8 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.835 | $334 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?No | sell | 1.3K | $0.997 | $1.3K | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 28?No | sell | 281.91 | $0.003 | $0.85 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 28?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 28?No | buy | 281.92 | $0.035 | $10 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?No | buy | 2.81K | $0.997 | $2.8K | Nov 27, 2025 |