Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.774 | $1.48 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 2 |
| $0.730 |
| $1.46 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.99 | $0.167 | $1.17 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?Yes | buy | 53.68 | $0.186 | $10 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | sell | 9.52 | $0.004 | $0.04 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?Yes | sell | 69.99 | $0.005 | $0.35 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.007 | $0.7 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by November 30?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.250 | $8 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.270 | $8.1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.390 | $15 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?Yes | buy | 33.75 | $0.320 | $10.8 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | sell | 12 | $0.900 | $10.8 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by October 31?Yes | buy | 171.52 | $0.031 | $5.29 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2AM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12AM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETDown | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETUp | sell | 4 | $0.740 | $2.96 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETUp | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.560 | $6.72 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | sell | 80.95 | $0.040 | $3.24 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 80.95 | $0.210 | $17 | May 9, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.038 | $10 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?No | sell | 47.61 | $0.956 | $45.49 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Super Bowl LIX WinnerChiefs | buy | 29.41 | $0.510 | $15 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Commanders vs. EaglesCommanders | buy | 30 | $0.280 | $8.4 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No | buy | 190.02 | $0.086 | $16.34 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.840 | $40 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Lily Phillips has sex with between 1-249 men in a day?Yes | buy | 90.44 | $0.090 | $8.14 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 30.8 | $0.974 | $30 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 32.04 | $0.936 | $30 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 40.66 | $0.984 | $40 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.960 | $40 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Pete" or "Hegseth" during NBC interview?No | sell | 5.56K | $0.003 | $16.05 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Pete" or "Hegseth" during NBC interview?No | buy | 5.56K | $0.009 | $50 | Dec 8, 2024 |