Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 45.78 | $0.910 | $43.97 | +$2.31 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.487 | $7.31 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 13.2 |
| $0.175 |
| $11.08 |
| +$8.77 |
 Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | Yes | 159.18 | $0.110 | $9.95 | -$7.51 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 7.98 | $0.376 | $7.51 | +$4.51 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | Yes | 46.88 | $0.170 | $5.27 | -$2.7 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 45.76 | $0.130 | $3.87 | -$2.09 |
 Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026? | Yes | 17.43 | $0.391 | $3.75 | -$3.07 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.21 | $0.340 | $1.52 | -$5.35 |
 Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.120 | $0.88 | +$0.28 |
 Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | Yes | 10.5 | $0.053 | $0.77 | +$0.21 |
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.050 | $0.48 | -$2.51 |
| sell |
| 7.19 |
| $0.010 |
| $0.07 |
| Apr 30, 2026 |
| Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?Yes | sell | 17.42 | $0.050 | $0.87 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 15.01 | $0.402 | $6.03 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?Yes | sell | 17.42 | $0.014 | $0.24 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 53.47 | $0.009 | $0.49 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 74.33 | $0.040 | $2.97 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Apple reach $308 in April?Yes | sell | 5.12 | $0.013 | $0.07 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?Yes | sell | 67.63 | $0.064 | $4.31 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?No | sell | 12.19 | $0.610 | $7.44 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.053 | $2.65 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 45.13 | $0.332 | $14.98 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.07 | $0.018 | $0.09 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?Yes | sell | 15.06 | $0.457 | $6.88 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 102.17 | $0.036 | $3.68 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.129 | $3 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?No | buy | 15.8 | $0.029 | $0.46 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.084 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 4?Yes | buy | 10.07 | $0.291 | $2.93 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 102.18 | $0.049 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No | buy | 63.11 | $0.078 | $4.9 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.98 | $0.376 | $3 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 435.08 | $0.043 | $18.53 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.800 | $6.66 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 13.2 | $0.175 | $2.31 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 26.47 | $0.090 | $2.39 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 1?Yes | buy | 9.7 | $0.302 | $2.93 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Yes | sell | 107 | $0.056 | $5.99 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.420 | $3 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers HyderabadSunrisers Hyderabad | buy | 15.18 | $0.390 | $5.92 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp | buy | 6.83 | $0.460 | $3.14 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 1?Yes | buy | 16.35 | $0.180 | $2.94 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Yes | buy | 107 | $0.090 | $9.63 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on March 31?Yes | buy | 14.77 | $0.199 | $2.94 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 8.81 | $0.550 | $4.85 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.034 | $1.7 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.042 | $0.08 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 15.02 | $0.333 | $5 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - March 27, 11PM ETDown | buy | 45.69 | $0.173 | $7.92 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.101 | $6.55 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 28?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.89 | $0.750 | $5.92 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on March 31?Yes | buy | 21.68 | $0.136 | $2.95 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.21 | $0.340 | $6.87 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 246.65 | $0.040 | $9.97 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 15.4 | $0.325 | $5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 435.09 | $0.057 | $24.8 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?Yes | sell | 75.02 | $0.143 | $10.71 | Mar 27, 2026 |