Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 1.99K | $0.040 | $80 | Apr 24, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 781.28 |
| $0.041 |
| $32 |
| Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 1.83K | $0.030 | $55 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.100 | $1.11 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 166.99 | $0.001 | $0.17 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 93.75 | $0.060 | $5.63 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 116.27 | $0.410 | $47.67 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 3.83K | $0.030 | $115 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | sell | 6.47 | $0.935 | $6.05 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.170 | $2.43 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 109 | $0.740 | $80.66 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.260 | $16.25 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.030 | $100 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 21?Yes | buy | 7.74 | $0.610 | $4.72 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.430 | $50 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.99 | $0.030 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | buy | 6.48 | $0.463 | $3 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 676.92 | $0.650 | $440 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 96.39 | $0.415 | $40 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 241.37 | $0.414 | $100 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?No | buy | 177.26 | $0.564 | $100 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?No | buy | 29.78 | $0.067 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?No | buy | 38.33 | $0.261 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 109.01 | $0.092 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?No | sell | 314.81 | $0.051 | $15.91 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?No | buy | 314.82 | $0.095 | $30 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.077 | $3.48 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.050 | $3.57 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.038 | $0.63 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.255 | $7.65 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?Up | buy | 272.49 | $0.073 | $20 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 8, 2026?No | buy | 105.73 | $0.028 | $3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?Yes | sell | 238.09 | $0.045 | $10.78 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 6, 2026?No | buy | 146 | $0.034 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 67.61 | $0.296 | $20 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.320 | $30 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.031 | $1.11 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?No | sell | 202 | $0.200 | $40.4 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?No | buy | 202 | $0.099 | $20 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.021 | $5 | Apr 4, 2026 |