Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 18.06K | $0.991 | $18K | +$91.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.78K | $0.001 | $7.78 | 16h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 16.88K |
| $0.467 |
| $7.68K |
| -$206 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.705 | $342 | +$60 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 200 | $0.730 | $141 | -$5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 61.32 | $0.588 | $47.52 | +$11.46 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 42.92 | $0.800 | $38.84 | +$4.51 |
 Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | Yes | 40 | $0.095 | $4.2 | +$0.4 |
| Will one person dissent the September Fed decision? | Yes | 20 | $0.140 | $2.7 | -$0.1 |
| buy |
| 1.77K |
| $0.869 |
| $1.53K |
| 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 450.49 | $0.630 | $283.81 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 262.16 | $0.600 | $157.3 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 152.87 | $0.450 | $68.79 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 387.85 | $0.460 | $178.36 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 995 | $0.500 | $497.5 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 214.54 | $0.487 | $104.52 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.510 | $102 | 27d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 2.16K | $0.998 | $2.15K | 27d ago |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 23.25K | $0.996 | $23.16K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.81 | $0.999 | $1.81 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 23.15K | $0.999 | $23.13K | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.44K | $0.930 | $5.99K | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 42.92 | $0.800 | $34.34 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.98 | $0.580 | $5.21 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 18.37 | $0.570 | $10.47 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 33.97 | $0.600 | $20.38 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.1K | $0.992 | $8.03K | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.980 | $1.29K | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.999 | $1.29K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.4K | $0.960 | $10.94K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.09 | $0.999 | $10.08 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.1K | $0.999 | $16.08K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.998 | $1.29K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 14.46K | $0.997 | $14.42K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.45 | $0.996 | $12.4 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Yes | buy | 26.82K | $0.997 | $26.74K | May 2, 2026 |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.997 | $1K | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump dance today?Yes | sell | 13.71K | $0.999 | $13.7K | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.66K | $0.990 | $12.53K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump dance today?Yes | buy | 3.58K | $0.999 | $3.58K | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 97.39 | $0.982 | $95.65 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump dance today?Yes | buy | 10.13K | $0.999 | $10.12K | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 27.35K | $0.998 | $27.3K | Apr 9, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 27.3K | $0.998 | $27.24K | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?No | sell | 12.35K | $0.998 | $12.33K | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?No | buy | 22K | $0.999 | $21.98K | Mar 29, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31?No | buy | 4.9K | $0.998 | $4.89K | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 26.87K | $0.998 | $26.81K | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 26.95K | $0.995 | $26.81K | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 17.59 | $0.996 | $17.52 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 26.83K | $0.998 | $26.77K | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No | sell | 10.47K | $0.002 | $20.94 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No | buy | 9.91K | $0.004 | $39.65 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 26.78K | $0.999 | $26.75K | Mar 12, 2026 |