Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | sell | 37.04 | $0.830 | $30.74 | Nov 14, 2025 |
|
| sell |
| 111.11 |
| $0.033 |
| $3.67 |
| Nov 11, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.810 | $30 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No | sell | 111.11 | $0.270 | $30 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | sell | 52.63 | $0.620 | $32.63 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 20.11 | $0.931 | $18.72 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.570 | $30 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?No | buy | 65.57 | $0.610 | $40 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.630 | $30 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | sell | 61.03 | $0.985 | $60.11 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in October?No | sell | 19.9 | $0.993 | $19.76 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 36.13 | $0.680 | $24.57 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in October?No | sell | 20 | $0.975 | $19.5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?No | sell | 97.56 | $0.052 | $5.07 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 8.69 | $0.898 | $7.8 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?No | buy | 24.02 | $0.416 | $10 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Atlas global browser market share 3%+ on December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?No | buy | 21.79 | $0.430 | $9.37 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in October?No | buy | 14.41 | $0.882 | $12.71 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in October?No | buy | 19.9 | $0.885 | $17.62 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in October?No | buy | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in October?Yes | buy | 25.43 | $0.393 | $10 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?No | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Atlas global browser market share 3%+ on December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.964 | $21.9 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No | buy | 29.82 | $0.671 | $20 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | sell | 35.81 | $0.850 | $30.44 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 35.82 | $0.820 | $29.37 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.090 | $5.29 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No | sell | 11.23 | $0.900 | $10.11 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 7.04 | $0.660 | $4.65 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | sell | 13.33 | $0.700 | $9.33 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?No | buy | 24.08 | $0.880 | $21.19 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 52.95 | $0.189 | $10 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | sell | 24.39 | $0.530 | $12.93 | Oct 15, 2025 |