Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 5K | $0.500 | $4.31K | +$1.81K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Yes | sell | 555 | $0.710 | $394.05 | Jul 12, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 1.74K |
| $0.900 |
| $1.68K |
| +$114.68 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 999.65 | $0.920 | $978.66 | +$58.98 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | Yes | 968.46 | $0.959 | $967.98 | +$39.4 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5K | $0.500 | $692.5 | -$1.81K |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 700 | $0.880 | $668.5 | +$52.5 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 500 | $0.920 | $472.5 | +$12.5 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 79.98K | $0.009 | $399.88 | -$328.21 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 350 | $0.559 | $341.08 | +$145.48 |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.945 | $295.95 | +$12.35 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 400 | $0.553 | $202 | -$19.18 |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | Anthropic | 124.6 | $0.740 | $113.39 | +$21.18 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 100 | $0.850 | $97.3 | +$12.3 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 92.29 | $0.600 | $80.29 | +$24.92 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 256.13 | $0.533 | $62.75 | -$73.75 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 50 | $0.640 | $45.25 | +$13.25 |
 Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 60 | $0.460 | $39.3 | +$11.7 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 253.84 | $0.464 | $21.58 | -$96.31 |
 Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | Yes | 38 | $0.440 | $17.29 | +$0.57 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | Yes | 28.46 | $0.720 | $16.93 | -$3.56 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 64.98 | $0.622 | $9.81 | -$30.6 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 100 | $0.300 | $6.35 | -$23.65 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 5 | $0.700 | $4.68 | +$1.18 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.500 | $4.1 | +$1.6 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 0.48 | $0.937 | $0.46 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 15 |
| $0.830 |
| $12.45 |
| Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.920 | $460 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.024 | $24 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?No | buy | 83.1 | $0.980 | $81.44 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 312.39 | $0.961 | $300.2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceMexico | buy | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceMexico | buy | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 19.99 | $0.470 | $9.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes | sell | 206.68 | $0.340 | $70.27 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?Yes | buy | 296.01 | $0.446 | $131.88 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?Yes | buy | 164.93 | $0.420 | $69.27 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?No | sell | 173 | $0.920 | $159.16 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?No | buy | 40.3 | $0.985 | $39.69 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?Anthropic | buy | 300 | $0.970 | $290.98 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.94 | $0.300 | $3.28 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 99.71 | $0.336 | $33.5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 91.92 | $0.210 | $19.3 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.290 | $4.35 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $850B by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.966 | $96.6 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.966 | $193.2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Yes | buy | 152.31 | $0.920 | $140.13 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on June 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.972 | $97.2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No | buy | 100.64 | $0.710 | $71.45 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No | buy | 207.33 | $0.830 | $172.08 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 213.18 | $0.920 | $196.13 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?No | buy | 27.13 | $0.880 | $23.87 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 139.33 | $0.966 | $134.59 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.920 | $460 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.12K | $0.017 | $19.07 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?No | buy | 173 | $0.910 | $157.43 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 64 | $0.937 | $59.97 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Sean OMalley | buy | 160 | $0.790 | $126.4 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?Meta | buy | 30 | $0.969 | $29.07 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.460 | $27.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.970 | $96.99 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 106.92 | $0.500 | $53.46 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 86.65 | $0.210 | $18.2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.64K | $0.010 | $16.39 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | sell | 125.4 | $0.510 | $63.95 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes | buy | 0.38 | $0.958 | $0.36 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs | sell | 1.09K | $0.920 | $1K | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 626.22 | $0.611 | $382.62 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 984.45 | $0.611 | $601.5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.620 | $619.88 | Jun 11, 2026 |