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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 599.02 | $0.835 | $524.14 | +$24.15 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 77.42 | $0.880 | $68.13 | 6h ago |
 |
| No |
| 416.6 |
| $0.965 |
| $408.48 |
| +$6.62 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 150.05 | $0.787 | $125.29 | +$7.25 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 81.77 | $0.940 | $79.73 | +$2.86 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 69.01 | $0.900 | $58.31 | -$3.77 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 54 | $0.800 | $42.39 | -$0.81 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 42 | $0.920 | $41.98 | +$3.34 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 99.91 | $0.383 | $35.12 | -$3.15 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 27.96 | $0.810 | $24.74 | +$2.1 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 366.87 | $0.025 | $12.66 | +$3.43 |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 13.5 | $0.890 | $11.14 | -$0.88 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 60 | $0.300 | $8.7 | -$9.3 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 15 | $0.640 | $7.88 | -$1.73 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 24.33 | $0.518 | $5.72 | -$6.88 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 40.7 | $0.158 | $2.97 | -$3.46 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 2.3 | $0.625 | $1.3 | -$0.14 |
| buy |
| 9 |
| $0.800 |
| $7.2 |
| 18h ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.800 | $36 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 22.13 | $0.680 | $15.05 | 3d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 13.64 | $0.984 | $13.42 | 3d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 22.95 | $0.910 | $20.88 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 10.15 | $0.680 | $6.9 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.660 | $6.71 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 24.42 | $0.610 | $14.9 | 4d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.982 | $4.99 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 6.34 | $0.983 | $6.23 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.983 | $8.86 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 9.73 | $0.983 | $9.56 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 81.77 | $0.940 | $76.86 | 7d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 13.41 | $0.963 | $12.91 | 16d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.963 | $6.35 | 18d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.880 | $21.12 | 18d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 130.46 | $0.966 | $126.02 | 18d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.640 | $9.6 | 19d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.63 | $0.800 | $6.1 | 19d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.92 | $0.790 | $5.47 | 19d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 78.18 | $0.790 | $61.76 | 19d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 31.43 | $0.909 | $28.57 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.02 | $0.918 | $7.36 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.97 | $0.918 | $6.4 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.18 | $0.902 | $9.18 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.03 | $0.912 | $5.5 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.51 | $0.919 | $6.9 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.96 | $0.911 | $5.43 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.01 | $0.894 | $8.05 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.39 | $0.851 | $3.74 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.92 | $0.851 | $5.89 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.15 | $0.639 | $2.65 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.680 | $12.24 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.06 | $0.680 | $10.24 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.19 | $0.730 | $8.9 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.95 | $0.720 | $7.88 | 19d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 9.68 | $0.991 | $9.59 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 7.48 | $0.991 | $7.41 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 6.66 | $0.991 | $6.6 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 91.11 | $0.991 | $90.29 | 22d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 23.05 | $0.780 | $17.98 | 22d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 34.27 | $0.780 | $26.73 | 22d ago |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 158.36 | $0.028 | $4.43 | 23d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 10.95 | $0.875 | $9.58 | 23d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 70.87 | $0.864 | $61.23 | 23d ago |
 Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.998 | $5.22 | 25d ago |
| Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 8.46 | $0.996 | $8.43 | 27d ago |
| Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 9.02 | $0.996 | $8.98 | 27d ago |