Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SBF sentenced to 50+ years?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.260 | $1.04K | Jan 14, 2024 |
| SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
| buy |
| 3.85 |
| $0.260 |
| $1 |
| Jan 14, 2024 |
 Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)?Yu-ih | buy | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | Jan 13, 2024 |
| Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)?Yu-ih | buy | 2K | $0.590 | $1.18K | Jan 13, 2024 |
 Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?Yes | sell | 680 | $0.050 | $34 | Dec 9, 2023 |
 Will Eric Adams be indicted by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 364.28 | $0.160 | $58.28 | Dec 9, 2023 |
| Will Eric Adams be indicted by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 515 | $0.069 | $35.55 | Dec 9, 2023 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.514 | $635.69 | Dec 3, 2023 |
| SBF sentenced to 50+ years?Yes | buy | 5.45K | $0.310 | $1.69K | Dec 3, 2023 |
| Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | Dec 3, 2023 |
| Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?Yes | sell | 205 | $0.110 | $22.55 | Dec 2, 2023 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8?No | sell | 500 | $0.480 | $240 | Dec 1, 2023 |
| SBF sentenced to 50+ years?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Nov 30, 2023 |
| SBF sentenced to 50+ years?Yes | buy | 490 | $0.310 | $151.9 | Nov 30, 2023 |
| SBF sentenced to 50+ years?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.310 | $310 | Nov 30, 2023 |
| Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.090 | $36 | Nov 30, 2023 |
| SBF sentenced to 50+ years?Yes | buy | 688.84 | $0.310 | $213.54 | Nov 29, 2023 |
| SBF sentenced to 50+ years?Yes | buy | 2.58K | $0.300 | $774.9 | Nov 29, 2023 |
 Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Nov 27, 2023 |
| SBF sentenced to 50+ years?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.300 | $4.5 | Nov 27, 2023 |
 Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?Yes | buy | 772.73 | $0.066 | $51 | Nov 24, 2023 |
| Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?Yes | buy | 215 | $0.139 | $29.95 | Nov 23, 2023 |
 Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?No | sell | 4.5K | $0.025 | $112.5 | Nov 22, 2023 |
| Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?Yes | buy | 174.36 | $0.090 | $15.69 | Nov 22, 2023 |
| Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?No | sell | 1K | $0.026 | $26 | Nov 22, 2023 |
| Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?No | sell | 907.53 | $0.027 | $24.5 | Nov 22, 2023 |
| Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?No | buy | 500 | $0.199 | $99.5 | Nov 21, 2023 |
 OpenAI board out by end of week?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.280 | $11.2 | Nov 21, 2023 |
| Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?No | buy | 300 | $0.210 | $63 | Nov 21, 2023 |
| Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?No | buy | 400 | $0.210 | $84 | Nov 21, 2023 |
| Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?No | buy | 3.4 | $0.294 | $1 | Nov 21, 2023 |
| Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.325 | $1 | Nov 21, 2023 |
| Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?No | buy | 3K | $0.430 | $1.29K | Nov 21, 2023 |
| Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?No | buy | 2K | $0.430 | $860 | Nov 21, 2023 |
| OpenAI board out by end of week?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.260 | $52 | Nov 21, 2023 |
| OpenAI board out by end of week?Yes | buy | 725 | $0.250 | $181.25 | Nov 21, 2023 |
| Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.500 | $500 | Nov 21, 2023 |
| OpenAI board out by end of week?No | buy | 200 | $0.760 | $152 | Nov 21, 2023 |
| OpenAI board out by end of week?No | buy | 96.64 | $0.750 | $72.48 | Nov 21, 2023 |
| OpenAI board out by end of week?Yes | sell | 259.74 | $0.250 | $64.94 | Nov 21, 2023 |
 Will VVD win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election?No | buy | 430 | $0.570 | $245.1 | Nov 20, 2023 |
 Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election?Yes | buy | 205 | $0.167 | $34.24 | Nov 20, 2023 |
| Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election?Yes | buy | 205 | $0.109 | $22.35 | Nov 20, 2023 |
 Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?Yes | sell | 2.01K | $0.067 | $134.4 | Nov 20, 2023 |
 Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?No | sell | 2.21K | $0.380 | $839.8 | Nov 19, 2023 |
 Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election?Yes | buy | 640.71 | $0.280 | $179.4 | Nov 19, 2023 |
| Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.270 | $405 | Nov 19, 2023 |
| Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.270 | $675 | Nov 18, 2023 |
| Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election?Yes | buy | 8K | $0.270 | $2.16K | Nov 18, 2023 |
 Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?Yes | sell | 181.96 | $0.470 | $85.52 | Nov 18, 2023 |