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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 0.39 | $0.720 | $0.38 | +$0.1 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.560 | $111.78 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 0.4 |
| $0.650 |
| $0.35 |
| +$0.09 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 0.4 | $0.680 | $0.34 | +$0.07 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 0.41 | $0.650 | $0.34 | +$0.08 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 0.4 | $0.660 | $0.32 | +$0.05 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.41 | $0.710 | $0.31 | +$0.01 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 0.41 | $0.690 | $0.29 | +$0.01 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 0.41 | $0.470 | $0.27 | +$0.08 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.720 | $0.26 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.630 | $0.25 | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.610 | $0.24 | -$0.01 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.41 | $0.682 | $0.24 | -$0.04 |
 Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 0.4 | $0.640 | $0.23 | -$0.03 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | Yes | 0.41 | $0.300 | $0.22 | +$0.09 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 0.4 | $0.440 | $0.19 | +$0.01 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 0.4 | $0.560 | $0.18 | -$0.04 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.42 | $0.350 | $0.18 | +$0.03 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.440 | $0.17 | -$0.01 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 0.4 | $0.320 | $0.14 | +$0.01 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.450 | $0.12 | -$0.06 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.300 | $0.12 | -$0 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | No | 0.26 | $0.320 | $0.1 | +$0.01 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.21 | $0.520 | $0.09 | -$0.02 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.280 | $0.08 | -$0.03 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | Yes | 0.2 | $0.620 | $0.08 | -$0.04 |
| sell |
| 93.97 |
| $0.590 |
| $55.44 |
| 3d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | 3d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.610 | $121.99 | 3d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | sell | 199.71 | $0.270 | $53.92 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.680 | $135.99 | 4d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.460 | $91.82 | 5d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | sell | 59.38 | $0.270 | $16.03 | 5d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | sell | 140.5 | $0.290 | $40.75 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.690 | $137.72 | 5d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.150 | $29.94 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.336 | $67.2 | 8d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.500 | $99.8 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.9 | $0.340 | $67.97 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 193.71 | $0.710 | $137.53 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 5.9 | $0.730 | $4.31 | 14d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.270 | $53.89 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.49 | $0.241 | $1.81 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.279 | $55.69 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 199.94 | $0.670 | $133.96 | 17d ago |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.610 | $121.76 | 19d ago |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.650 | $129.74 | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.200 | $39.92 | 20d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.320 | $63.87 | 20d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 102.5 | $0.510 | $52.28 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 67.14 | $0.679 | $45.59 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 162.66 | $0.590 | $95.97 | 23d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 11.17 | $0.220 | $2.46 | 25d ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.230 | $45.91 | 27d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.450 | $90 | 27d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.630 | $9.45 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.826 | $164.87 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.390 | $77.84 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.140 | $27.94 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 146.48 | $0.780 | $114.25 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 199.61 | $0.160 | $31.94 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.720 | $143.71 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 200 | $0.610 | $122 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 2.82 | $0.600 | $1.69 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.390 | $77.84 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 153.78 | $0.740 | $113.8 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 45.91 | $0.780 | $35.81 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | sell | 124.83 | $0.290 | $36.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.190 | $37.92 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 22.28 | $0.500 | $11.14 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.610 | $121.76 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.550 | $109.78 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.82 | $0.440 | $87.92 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No | sell | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | Jul 23, 2026 |