Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 50 | $0.910 | $42.5 | -$3 |
 Base FDV above $5B one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?Yes | buy | 0.1 | $0.250 | $0.03 | 9d ago |
 |
| No |
| 37 |
| $0.700 |
| $25.35 |
| -$0.56 |
 Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by December 31? | Yes | 35 | $0.386 | $20.3 | +$6.8 |
 Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31? | Anthropic + OpenAI | 45 | $0.490 | $19.13 | -$2.93 |
 Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | No | 30 | $0.795 | $16.32 | -$7.54 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | No | 20 | $0.720 | $12.4 | -$2 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.668 | $12 | -$54.85 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 19 | $0.420 | $9.98 | +$2 |
 Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000? | Yes | 40 | $0.140 | $6.2 | +$0.6 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 10 | $0.480 | $0.65 | -$4.15 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.820 |
| $4.1 |
| 15d ago |
| Will it rain in Boston, MA on August 24?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.871 | $7.64 | 15d ago |
| Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on August 23?No | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | 16d ago |
| Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on August 23?No | buy | 36 | $0.248 | $8.94 | 16d ago |
| Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on August 23?No | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | 16d ago |
 Will it rain in New York, NY on August 23?No | buy | 40 | $0.072 | $2.89 | 16d ago |
 Will Austin, TX face tornado risk on August 23?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 16d ago |
| Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on August 23?No | buy | 45.24 | $0.480 | $21.72 | 17d ago |
| Will it rain in New York, NY on August 23?No | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | 17d ago |
| Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on August 23?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.470 | $9.4 | 17d ago |
 Will it rain in Chicago, IL on August 22?No | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | 18d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | 23d ago |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?No | sell | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | 23d ago |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | 23d ago |
 Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.154 | $3.08 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.233 | $9.57 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?No | buy | 2.61 | $0.820 | $2.14 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.438 | $8.75 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?No | buy | 14 | $0.599 | $8.39 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.420 | $7.98 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.265 | $13.24 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?No | buy | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?No | buy | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic | sell | 50 | $0.813 | $40.65 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.69 | $0.230 | $11.43 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?No | sell | 50 | $0.410 | $20.5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.170 | $8.5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?No | buy | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 46 | $0.380 | $17.46 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Oscar Isaac – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.589 | $18.84 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.690 | $27.6 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.800 | $36 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?No | sell | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?No | buy | 20 | $0.263 | $5.26 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?Yes | buy | 20.85 | $0.810 | $16.89 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic + OpenAI | buy | 50 | $0.490 | $24.5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.982 | $10.91 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.380 | $19 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by December 31?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.386 | $13.5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.799 | $35.95 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.680 | $34 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?No | buy | 11.12 | $0.740 | $8.23 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Jul 14, 2026 |