Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.012 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.490 | $1.63 | 4d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 25 |
| $0.040 |
| $0.11 |
| -$0.89 |
| sell |
| 166.66 |
| $0.006 |
| $1 |
| 4d ago |
 Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.790 | $26.07 | 9d ago |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.017 | $4.08 | 15d ago |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?Yes | buy | 20.3 | $0.330 | $6.7 | 18d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.343 | $6.86 | 18d ago |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?Yes | buy | 42.57 | $0.350 | $14.9 | 21d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | 21d ago |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?Yes | buy | 131.32 | $0.657 | $86.3 | 22d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?Yes | sell | 216.32 | $0.398 | $86.18 | 22d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?Yes | buy | 155.22 | $0.541 | $84 | 25d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?Yes | buy | 61.1 | $0.440 | $26.88 | 26d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Yes | buy | 112.1 | $0.500 | $56.05 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?Yes | buy | 20.27 | $0.560 | $11.35 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?Yes | sell | 20.57 | $0.200 | $4.11 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?Yes | buy | 20.58 | $0.243 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | buy | 73.95 | $0.114 | $8.42 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | sell | 35.07 | $0.240 | $8.42 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | buy | 11.38 | $0.260 | $2.96 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | buy | 23.69 | $0.490 | $11.61 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 134.62 | $0.013 | $1.75 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | buy | 8.9 | $0.109 | $0.97 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.013 | $0.08 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.004 | $0.03 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 56.36 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.007 | $0.02 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 40.8 | $0.025 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 56.36 | $0.018 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.017 | $2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 8?No | buy | 366.98 | $0.005 | $1.83 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No | buy | 126.46 | $0.008 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No | buy | 135.93 | $0.007 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?No | buy | 202.2 | $0.005 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 8?No | buy | 222.2 | $0.005 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?No | buy | 175.92 | $0.006 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?No | buy | 124.69 | $0.008 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?No | sell | 27.77 | $0.024 | $0.68 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |