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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 34.64 | $0.866 | $32.74 | +$2.74 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.740 | $4.49 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 30.49 |
| $0.820 |
| $26.37 |
| +$1.37 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 24.1 | $0.830 | $23.31 | +$3.31 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 22.08 | $0.906 | $21.67 | +$1.67 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20.78 | +$0.78 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 19.9 | $0.754 | $18.6 | +$3.6 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 18.29 | $0.820 | $17.68 | +$2.68 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.07 | $0.830 | $17.6 | +$2.6 |
 EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? | No | 16.67 | $0.780 | $16.03 | +$3.03 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 16.39 | $0.610 | $14.84 | +$4.84 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | 14.81 | $0.750 | $13.84 | +$2.74 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 14.79 | $0.676 | $13.68 | +$3.68 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 12.99 | $0.770 | $12.14 | +$2.14 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | No | 19.61 | $0.510 | $8.92 | -$1.08 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 8.31 | $0.903 | $8.13 | +$0.63 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 7.93 | $0.820 | $7.37 | +$0.87 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 14.58 | $0.548 | $7.26 | -$0.74 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 7.15 | $0.839 | $6.62 | +$0.62 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | No | 6.33 | $0.790 | $6.08 | +$1.08 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 6.33 | $0.790 | $6.01 | +$1.01 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | No | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5.61 | +$0.61 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5.17 | +$0.17 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 5.44 | $0.919 | $5.12 | +$0.12 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.32 | $0.940 | $4.97 | -$0.03 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.400 |
| $2 |
| 8d ago |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | 8d ago |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | 8d ago |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | 8d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | 8d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | 8d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 8d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 18.29 | $0.820 | $15 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 22.61 | $0.620 | $14.02 | May 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 5.87 | $0.950 | $5.58 | May 5, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.83 | $0.870 | $5.07 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.56 | $0.961 | $5.34 | May 5, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 5.44 | $0.919 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?No | sell | 11.23 | $0.972 | $10.92 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.983 | $5.46 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | May 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.640 | $1.43 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.939 | $5.21 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.560 | $6.22 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 6.39 | $0.640 | $4.09 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 18.29 | $0.820 | $15 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | sell | 30.66 | $0.996 | $30.54 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 13.63 | $0.994 | $13.55 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 30.67 | $0.720 | $22.08 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo | sell | 4.67 | $0.800 | $3.74 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo | sell | 7.19 | $0.800 | $5.75 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 8.3 | $0.909 | $7.54 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.91 | $0.965 | $4.74 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.93 | $0.820 | $6.5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.43 | $0.965 | $5.24 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.983 | $4.92 | Apr 3, 2026 |