Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETDown | buy | 85.74 | $0.010 | $0.86 | Apr 18, 2026 |
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Forceful-Sombrero is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,222,582 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$27.49 observed lifetime PnL, 22 distinct markets, 7 resolved positions, a 28.6% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xd2a36bfede74bf097a4a07ae8b9e544c0ff39a41
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 132.83 |
| $0.007 |
| $0.9 |
| Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C or higher on April 15?No | buy | 90.1 | $0.010 | $0.9 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.070 | $3.15 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.120 | $5.4 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will "Nvidia" be said on the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will "Monad" be said on the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will "Valuation" be said on the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | buy | 105.88 | $0.009 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will "Clout" be said on the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear EditionNo | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Epstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 House passes Epstein disclosure bill on Tuesday?No | buy | 65.16 | $0.031 | $2 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberNo | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in November?No | buy | 549.75 | $0.004 | $2 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 114.03 | $0.035 | $4 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.