Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.012 | $9.79 | +$8.79 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | buy | 80.31 | $0.050 | $4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 250 |
| $0.004 |
| $1.25 |
| +$0.25 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Yes | 80.31 | $0.050 | $0.64 | -$3.36 |
| buy |
| 250 |
| $0.004 |
| $1 |
| Jun 22, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $30 June 1-7?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $60 June 1-7?Yes | buy | 33.42 | $0.180 | $6 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $30 June 1-7?Yes | buy | 107.32 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $65 on June 4?Yes | buy | 27.24 | $0.367 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETDown | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $55 on June 4?Yes | buy | 60.19 | $0.020 | $1.19 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $60 on June 4?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.054 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $50 June 1-7?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.028 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETDown | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETDown | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.004 | $3 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.016 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 311.83 | $0.010 | $3 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 90.68 | $0.033 | $3 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.012 | $4 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.027 | $3 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | buy | 110.41 | $0.036 | $4 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.014 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETUp | buy | 166.67 | $0.030 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?Yes | buy | 663.75 | $0.003 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.036 | $4 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.009 | $3 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.016 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | buy | 151.5 | $0.020 | $3 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?Yes | buy | 25.6 | $0.078 | $2 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?Yes | buy | 154.52 | $0.019 | $3 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?Yes | buy | 109.21 | $0.009 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | May 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?Yes | buy | 255 | $0.008 | $2 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?Yes | buy | 151.02 | $0.020 | $3 | May 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?Down | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | May 8, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 7?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 7?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 5?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 5?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.063 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 5?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.282 | $2 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 5?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | May 4, 2026 |